Spatial Downscaling of Satellite-Based Precipitation Data over the Qaidam Basin, China

High-spatiotemporal-resolution precipitation data are essential for studies on regional hydrology, meteorology, and ecological conservation. Because the Qaidam Basin is a data-scarce region with a few ground stations and coarse-resolution remote sensing products, its utility in regional research is constrained. Therefore, high-resolution precipitation data are urgently needed. Here, longitude, latitude, the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI), the digital elevation model (DEM), daytime and nighttime land surface temperature, slope, and aspect were selected as environmental variables. Four machine learning methods, Artificial Neural Network (ANN), Cubist, Random Forest (RF), and Support Vector Machine (SVM), were used to downscale Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) precipitation data from 25 to 1 km in the Qaidam Basin and validated using ground observation stations. For annual downscaling, the accuracy ranked as Cubist > ANN > RF > SVM, and residual correction further improved performance. The Cubist model produced the best results, generating finer spatial patterns and reducing outliers in both annual and monthly products. Longitude, latitude, the DEM, and the NDVI were important contributors to the Cubist model. The resulting high-resolution dataset provides valuable support for hydrological and climate change research in the Qaidam Basin.