Towards Safer Automated Driving: Predicting Drivers with Long Takeover Time Using Random Forest and Human Factors

In highly automated driving systems (ADSs), drivers’ ability to resume manual driving remains a road safety issue. However, to the best of our knowledge, there is no existing computational model to predict which drivers require more than the 4 seconds mandated by United Nations Regulation No. 157 to regain manual control. To address this challenge, we developed a Random Forest model that predicts takeover time using measurable human factors. Three controlled driving simulator experiments were conducted in which participants engaged in distinct tasks—texting, drinking, and traffic monitoring—before responding to a takeover request. During the experiments, we collected human factor features, including gaze behavior, age, and scores, from the self-reported driving behavior questionnaire (K-DBQ). The Random Forest classifier achieved 77% accuracy. Recursive feature elimination selected 10 dominant predictors; notably, engaging in non-driving-related tasks, reduced on-road gaze, and older age were significantly associated with longer takeover times. Although K-DBQ scores were not directly correlated with takeover time, their inclusion improved model robustness, consistent with ensemble learning from weak yet complementary signals. The proposed model can be integrated into advanced driver assistance systems (ADASs) to proactively identify drivers likely to exceed the 4-second takeover window, support targeted interventions, and enhance human-centered transition safety in ADSs.