Strict Uncertainty Analysis with Fuzzy Payoffs and its Application to Portfolio Selection

Decision-making under strict uncertainty involves evaluating a set of alternatives without knowledge of the probability of scenarios using crisp evaluations. Our work reformulates traditional decision rules to a fuzzy environment, retaining the interpretability of classical principles while incorporating imprecision. Our methodological proposal provides a unified, flexible, and mathematically consistent framework for decision-making under imprecise payoffs. We adapt a total ordering mechanism for trapezoidal fuzzy numbers and admissible interval orders. Our application case study to portfolio selection under fuzzy strict uncertainty demonstrates how the proposed fuzzy generalization can handle financial imprecision and investor risk attitudes through ranking functions.

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Publication Details

Journal
Informatica
Published
2026-01-01
DOI
https://doi.org/10.15388/26-infor625
Primary Topic
Risk and Portfolio Optimization
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

Strict Uncertainty Analysis with Fuzzy Payoffs and its Application to Portfolio Selection

Luis E. Martínez, Bapi Dutta, Francisco Salas-Molina Francisco Salas-Molina
Informatica
Risk and Portfolio Optimization
article

Strict Uncertainty Analysis with Fuzzy Payoffs and its Application to Portfolio Selection

Luis E. Martínez, Bapi Dutta, Francisco Salas-Molina Francisco Salas-Molina
article en

Abstract

Decision-making under strict uncertainty involves evaluating a set of alternatives without knowledge of the probability of scenarios using crisp evaluations. Our work reformulates traditional decision rules to a fuzzy environment, retaining the interpretability of classical principles while incorporating imprecision. Our methodological proposal provides a unified, flexible, and mathematically consistent framework for decision-making under imprecise payoffs. We adapt a total ordering mechanism for trapezoidal fuzzy numbers and admissible interval orders. Our application case study to portfolio selection under fuzzy strict uncertainty demonstrates how the proposed fuzzy generalization can handle financial imprecision and investor risk attitudes through ranking functions.

Informatica
Peace, Justice and strong institutions
Openalex Percentile: Top 7%
Risk and Portfolio Optimization
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