Advanced Multivariate Deep Learning Methodology for Forecasting Wind Speed and Solar Irradiation

The transition to smart cities is accelerating distributed wind and solar deployment. However, their intermittency challenges grid operation, thereby making accurate machine-learning-based prediction of wind speed and global horizontal irradiance (GHI) crucial. This study presents a cost-effective approach that enhances prediction accuracy by extracting additional features from timestamp records for deep learning models used to forecast GHI and wind speed. Unlike conventional methods that require onsite meteorological measurements, the proposed approach uses only date and time information as inputs to multivariate deep neural networks, including recurrent neural networks, gated recurrent units, long short-term memory (LSTM), bidirectional LSTM, and convolutional neural networks. For wind speed prediction, the proposed configuration achieves R2 up to 0.9987, with RMSE as low as 0.067 m/s for 3 d ahead forecasting, outperforming univariate baselines and matching models. For GHI forecasting, the time-based configuration attains R2 values above 0.9994 in 12 h ahead predictions, with the RMSE reduced to approximately 4.47 W/m2, representing a substantial improvement over univariate models. The proposed framework maintains strong performance, particularly under clear and sunny conditions. These results demonstrate that timestamp-engineered features can deliver forecasting accuracy comparable to conventional multivariate meteorological models while significantly reducing infrastructure requirements, making the approach well-suited for scalable smart city energy management.

Authors

Institutions

Publication Details

Journal
Smart Cities
Published
2026-03-27
DOI
https://doi.org/10.3390/smartcities9040059
Primary Topic
Solar Radiation and Photovoltaics
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
Controls
|||
ALL TIME
JAN
FEB
MAR
APR
MAY
JUN
JUL
AUG
SEP
OCT
article

Advanced Multivariate Deep Learning Methodology for Forecasting Wind Speed and Solar Irradiation

Mannan Hassan, Md Mahfuzur Rahman, Abdul Rahman Katranji, Md Shafiullah et al.
Smart Cities
Solar Radiation and Photovoltaics
article

Advanced Multivariate Deep Learning Methodology for Forecasting Wind Speed and Solar Irradiation

Mannan Hassan, Md Mahfuzur Rahman, Abdul Rahman Katranji, Md Shafiullah, Sk. A. Shezan
article en

Abstract

The transition to smart cities is accelerating distributed wind and solar deployment. However, their intermittency challenges grid operation, thereby making accurate machine-learning-based prediction of wind speed and global horizontal irradiance (GHI) crucial. This study presents a cost-effective approach that enhances prediction accuracy by extracting additional features from timestamp records for deep learning models used to forecast GHI and wind speed. Unlike conventional methods that require onsite meteorological measurements, the proposed approach uses only date and time information as inputs to multivariate deep neural networks, including recurrent neural networks, gated recurrent units, long short-term memory (LSTM), bidirectional LSTM, and convolutional neural networks. For wind speed prediction, the proposed configuration achieves R2 up to 0.9987, with RMSE as low as 0.067 m/s for 3 d ahead forecasting, outperforming univariate baselines and matching models. For GHI forecasting, the time-based configuration attains R2 values above 0.9994 in 12 h ahead predictions, with the RMSE reduced to approximately 4.47 W/m2, representing a substantial improvement over univariate models. The proposed framework maintains strong performance, particularly under clear and sunny conditions. These results demonstrate that timestamp-engineered features can deliver forecasting accuracy comparable to conventional multivariate meteorological models while significantly reducing infrastructure requirements, making the approach well-suited for scalable smart city energy management.

Smart CitiesVol. 9(4)
King Fahd University of Petroleum and Minerals (SA), Murdoch University (AU)
Industry, innovation and infrastructure
Openalex Percentile: Top 6%
Solar Radiation and Photovoltaics
AI Navigator

Ask Laika to Summarize, Analyze, and Connect papers live on the map.

Summarize Papers & Methodologies

Extract key findings, datasets, and comparative methods across publications.

Benchmark Rankings & Visual Analytics

Rank top research institutions, authors, funders, topics, and journals by Field-Weighted Citation Impact (FWCI) and paper volume with instant charts.

Connect Distant Disciplines

Bridge topological clusters on the map to find hidden collaborative intersections.

Advanced Multivariate Deep Learning Methodology for Forecasting Wind Speed and Solar Irradiation — Mannan Hassan, Md Mahfuzur Rahman, et al. · Smart Cities (2026) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS