Environmental Drivers of Algal Blooms in a Tropical Coastal Riverine System: A Multivariate Statistical Approach

Nutrient inputs from human activities, such as agriculture and sewage discharge, influence algal blooms in water bodies. In Ecuador, the Daule River receives wastewater discharges. In addition, poor agricultural practices, including the unsuitable use of fertilisers in combination with soil erosion and surface runoff processes, increase the nutrient load to the river. Considering this, the objective of this study was to evaluate environmental and biological variables using statistical analysis to identify the parameters that influence algal blooms in the main stem of the Daule River. The methodology consisted of two phases: (i) data collection, including water sampling and laboratory work for the analysis of nutrients and phytoplankton, and (ii) statistical analysis, which includes univariate, bivariate, inferential and multivariate analysis (STATICO technique). The results showed that pH and dissolved oxygen were the main drivers of diatoms (Polymyxus coronalis and Aulacoseira granulate) and the charophyte Mougeotia sp. Similarly, ammonium-N was the main driver of the diatom Ulnaria ulna and the cyanobacteria Planktothrix cf. agardhii. The outcomes of this study identified the main environmental variables driving blooms of the five most abundant species, providing a basis for the development of ecological models in the context of land use and climate change.