Monotonicity and Robust Implementation Under Forward‐Induction Reasoning

In sequential games, the set of paths consistent with rationality and forward‐induction reasoning may change nonmonotonically when adding transparent restrictions on players' beliefs. Yet, we prove that—in an incomplete‐information environment—predictions become sharper when the restrictions only concern initial beliefs about types. Thus, strong rationalizability for games with payoff uncertainty characterizes the path predictions of forward‐induction reasoning across all possible restrictions on players' hierarchies of exogenous beliefs. With this, we can solve an open problem: the implementation of social choice functions through sequential mechanisms under forward‐induction reasoning—which considerably expands the realm of implementable functions compared with simultaneous mechanisms (Müller (2016))—is indeed robust in the sense of Bergemann and Morris (2009).

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Publication Details

Journal
Econometrica
Published
2026-01-01
DOI
https://doi.org/10.3982/ecta23709
Citations
1
Primary Topic
Game Theory and Applications
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
58.08
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article

Monotonicity and Robust Implementation Under Forward‐Induction Reasoning

Pierpaolo Battigalli, Emiliano Catonini
1 citations
Econometrica
Game Theory and Applications
58.08
article

Monotonicity and Robust Implementation Under Forward‐Induction Reasoning

Pierpaolo Battigalli, Emiliano Catonini
article en
1 citations

Abstract

In sequential games, the set of paths consistent with rationality and forward‐induction reasoning may change nonmonotonically when adding transparent restrictions on players' beliefs. Yet, we prove that—in an incomplete‐information environment—predictions become sharper when the restrictions only concern initial beliefs about types. Thus, strong rationalizability for games with payoff uncertainty characterizes the path predictions of forward‐induction reasoning across all possible restrictions on players' hierarchies of exogenous beliefs. With this, we can solve an open problem: the implementation of social choice functions through sequential mechanisms under forward‐induction reasoning—which considerably expands the realm of implementable functions compared with simultaneous mechanisms (Müller (2016))—is indeed robust in the sense of Bergemann and Morris (2009).

EconometricaVol. 94(2)
Decision Sciences (United States) (US), New York University (US), Bocconi University (IT)
Reduced inequalities
Openalex Percentile: Top 0%
Game Theory and Applications
58.08
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Monotonicity and Robust Implementation Under Forward‐Induction Reasoning — Pierpaolo Battigalli, Emiliano Catonini · Econometrica (2026) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS