A Physics-Constrained Hybrid Deep Learning Model for State Prediction in Shipboard Power Systems

Accurate and physically consistent state prediction is essential for shipboard power systems (SPS) operating under dynamic conditions. However, purely data-driven models often exhibit degraded robustness and physically inconsistent outputs when exposed to transient disturbances or limited data coverage. To address these limitations, this paper proposes a physics-constrained hybrid prediction model that integrates a convolutional neural network–bidirectional long short-term memory (CNN–BiLSTM) architecture with wide residual connections (WRC) and a physics-constrained loss (PCL). The proposed modeling approach combines real operational measurement data with high-resolution simulation data to enhance data diversity and improve generalization capability. The CNN–BiLSTM structure captures nonlinear temporal dependencies, while the WRC preserves critical low-level transient electrical features during deep temporal modeling. In addition, multiple physical constraints, including power balance, voltage conversion relationships, and battery state-of-charge (SOC) dynamics, are incorporated into the training process to enforce physically consistent predictions. The model is validated using charging and discharging experiments on a laboratory-scale SPS under both steady-state and transient conditions. Comparative results demonstrate that the proposed approach achieves higher prediction accuracy, improved dynamic stability, and faster recovery following disturbances compared with conventional data-driven models. These results indicate that physics-constrained deep learning provides an effective and interpretable modeling framework for SPS state prediction, supporting digital twin-oriented monitoring and real-time prediction applications.

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Publication Details

Journal
Modelling—International Open Access Journal of Modelling in Engineering Science
Published
2026-03-26
DOI
https://doi.org/10.3390/modelling7020065
Primary Topic
Maritime Transport Emissions and Efficiency
Type
article
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article

A Physics-Constrained Hybrid Deep Learning Model for State Prediction in Shipboard Power Systems

Xiaoqiang Dai, Mingyu Zhang, Jiao Wang, Jinxing Liu et al.
Modelling—International Open Access Journal of Modelling in Engineering Science
Maritime Transport Emissions and Efficiency
article

A Physics-Constrained Hybrid Deep Learning Model for State Prediction in Shipboard Power Systems

Xiaoqiang Dai, Mingyu Zhang, Jiao Wang, Jinxing Liu, Kaikai You
article en

Abstract

Accurate and physically consistent state prediction is essential for shipboard power systems (SPS) operating under dynamic conditions. However, purely data-driven models often exhibit degraded robustness and physically inconsistent outputs when exposed to transient disturbances or limited data coverage. To address these limitations, this paper proposes a physics-constrained hybrid prediction model that integrates a convolutional neural network–bidirectional long short-term memory (CNN–BiLSTM) architecture with wide residual connections (WRC) and a physics-constrained loss (PCL). The proposed modeling approach combines real operational measurement data with high-resolution simulation data to enhance data diversity and improve generalization capability. The CNN–BiLSTM structure captures nonlinear temporal dependencies, while the WRC preserves critical low-level transient electrical features during deep temporal modeling. In addition, multiple physical constraints, including power balance, voltage conversion relationships, and battery state-of-charge (SOC) dynamics, are incorporated into the training process to enforce physically consistent predictions. The model is validated using charging and discharging experiments on a laboratory-scale SPS under both steady-state and transient conditions. Comparative results demonstrate that the proposed approach achieves higher prediction accuracy, improved dynamic stability, and faster recovery following disturbances compared with conventional data-driven models. These results indicate that physics-constrained deep learning provides an effective and interpretable modeling framework for SPS state prediction, supporting digital twin-oriented monitoring and real-time prediction applications.

Modelling—International Open Access Journal of Modelling in Engineering ScienceVol. 7(2)
Jiangsu University of Science and Technology (CN), Marine Design & Research Institute of China (CN)
Openalex Percentile: Top 7%
Maritime Transport Emissions and Efficiency
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