Drivers and barriers to DSS adoption in European crop protection: insights from a machine learning analysis of farmer and advisor surveys

Integrated pest management (IPM) prioritizes non-chemical alternatives for managing pests and/or diseases, reserving chemicals as last solution, when economically and environmentally justified. The holistic consideration of the agroecosystem makes decision-making in crop protection more complex, as it requires selecting the most appropriate action at the right time. Decision support systems (DSS) for IPM help manage the risks of pests and diseases affecting crops by predicting potential threats and suggesting suitable control measures. However, their adoption remains modest among farmers, despite demonstrated benefits. An anonymous online survey was conducted among farmers, advisors, and other agricultural stakeholders to investigate factors influencing DSS uptake, or lack thereof. The survey distinguished between DSS users and non-users, enabling targeted questions on different aspects of DSS use and adoption. In total, 78 respondents were classified as DSS users and 29 as DSS non-users . Data were analyzed through clustering, followed by statistical validation of clusters and induction of a classification tree, to identify the most influential features shaping cluster formation among both DSS users and DSS non-users . The analysis identified four clusters in the DSS users’ dataset and two clusters in the DSS non-users’ dataset. For DSS users , DSS output reliability and usefulness were identified as the most influential features. Membership in a farmers’ network and DSS ease of use also contributed to cluster separation. For DSS non-users , DSS availability for different cropping systems was the most important attribute determining cluster separation. The results indicate that farmer involvement in DSS development and calibration may enhance trust and, therefore, adoption. Moreover, the need for user-friendly systems providing simple and clear information was highlighted. Although the lack of DSS tailored to specific cropping systems emerged as the main barrier, limited awareness and concerns about costs were also important obstacles. The applied methodological approach presents a reproducible and robust AI-based framework, built on open-source tools, to analyze stakeholders’ perceptions of IPM DSS and extract knowledge from complex survey data. This study provides valuable insights to facilitate DSS adoption for more sustainable crop protection and underscores the importance of both DSS technical performance and end-user needs.