UAV Recognition Confidence: A Key Evaluation Metric for UAV Recognition Performance

Radar plays a pivotal role throughout the entire Counter-Unmanned Aerial Vehicle (C-UAV) process, and there is an urgent need for radar technologies capable of effectively detecting and recognizing non-cooperative Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAVs). However, the commonly emphasized UAV True Positive Ratio (TPR) fails to adequately reflect radar performance in environments with high bird density. Frequent bird activity leads to numerous false UAV alarms and unreliable recognition results. To address this issue, this paper introduces the concept of UAV Recognition Confidence (URC), a comprehensive metric that quantifies the credibility of UAV recognition by jointly considering recognition performance indicators and environmental factors. Simulations and field measurements employ a bird random walk model and real-time trajectory statistics to represent the dynamic population variations of birds. Both simulation and X-band radar experimental results verify that the proposed URC framework can effectively characterize the recognition capability of radar systems by capturing the complex interactions between the UAV and surrounding avian activities.