Modelling the Strategic Process Planning for a Medium Size Company in The German Photovoltaic Industry by Using Decision Trees

Our present research is done following a previous study realized by a group of researchers at the University of Leipzig, Germany. They have focused on creating a scenario based strategic planning process for a medium-sized company in the German photovoltaic industry. They have evaluated many aspects underlying the environment and context in which the German photovoltaic industry evolves, the main factors which influence this industry, and upon their findings have designed a scenario process planning with 7 phases. This research is valuable to understand how one phase of the process cand lead to another phase, and from that phase to the next one. Some phases may yield different alternatives, which could happen in uncertainty, which means that a certain phase may happen with a certain probability, under certain circumstances, but it may also never take place. Other phases could also happen in a certain amount of time, 3 months, 6 months, etc. Given these aspects, underlined by the precedent research, we could design a visual way (using decision tress) for representing different phases linked to process planning for a company in photovoltaic industry in a German context. The intuitive approach is to think of the alternatives as branches of a tree, that could branch again, at the next level, into other branches (alternatives).