Omnibus goodness‐of‐fit tests for univariate continuous distributions based on trigonometric moments

ABSTRACT We propose a new omnibus goodness‐of‐fit test based on trigonometric moments of probability‐integral‐transformed data. The test builds on the framework of the LK test introduced by Langholz and Kronmal [J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. 86 (1991), 1077–1084], but fully exploits the covariance structure of the associated trigonometric statistics. As a result, our test statistic converges under the null hypothesis to a distribution, even in the presence of nuisance parameters, yielding a well‐calibrated rejection region. We derive the exact asymptotic covariance matrix required for normalization and propose a unified approach to computing the LK normalizing scalar. The applicability of both the proposed test and the LK test is substantially expanded by providing implementation details for 11 families of continuous distributions, covering most commonly used parametric models. Simulation studies demonstrate accurate empirical size, close to the nominal level, and strong power properties, yielding fully plug‐and‐play procedures. Further insight is provided by an analysis under local alternatives. The methodology is illustrated using surface temperature forecast errors from a numerical weather prediction model.

Publication Details

Journal
Statistica Neerlandica
Published
2026-03-24
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1111/stan.70025
Primary Topic
Hydrology and Drought Analysis
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

Omnibus goodness‐of‐fit tests for univariate continuous distributions based on trigonometric moments

Statistica Neerlandica
Hydrology and Drought Analysis
article

Omnibus goodness‐of‐fit tests for univariate continuous distributions based on trigonometric moments

article en

Abstract

ABSTRACT We propose a new omnibus goodness‐of‐fit test based on trigonometric moments of probability‐integral‐transformed data. The test builds on the framework of the LK test introduced by Langholz and Kronmal [J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. 86 (1991), 1077–1084], but fully exploits the covariance structure of the associated trigonometric statistics. As a result, our test statistic converges under the null hypothesis to a distribution, even in the presence of nuisance parameters, yielding a well‐calibrated rejection region. We derive the exact asymptotic covariance matrix required for normalization and propose a unified approach to computing the LK normalizing scalar. The applicability of both the proposed test and the LK test is substantially expanded by providing implementation details for 11 families of continuous distributions, covering most commonly used parametric models. Simulation studies demonstrate accurate empirical size, close to the nominal level, and strong power properties, yielding fully plug‐and‐play procedures. Further insight is provided by an analysis under local alternatives. The methodology is illustrated using surface temperature forecast errors from a numerical weather prediction model.

Statistica NeerlandicaVol. 80(2)
Climate action
Openalex Percentile: Top 7%
Hydrology and Drought Analysis
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