Decision‐Oriented Renewable Scenario Generation Based on Multi‐Scale Decomposition and <scp>WGAN</scp> ‐ <scp>GP</scp>

ABSTRACT Nowadays, with the growing penetration of renewable generation, economic dispatch is increasingly important in short‐term power system operation. In this paper, a deep renewable scenario generation model combining Multi‐Scale Decomposition mixer and Wasserstein Generative Adversarial Network with Gradient Penalty is proposed to achieve novel decision‐oriented forecasting, thus realizing effective characterization of renewable temporal dynamics and economic performance. From the perspective of wind and solar generation, the validity of the proposed method is demonstrated on a real‐world dataset with power station at regional level. Experimental results confirm the superiority of model performance through statistical indicators and power system scheduling test, compared with a number of scenario generation and time series forecasting benchmarks.

Publication Details

Journal
Expert Systems
Published
2026-03-24
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1111/exsy.70241
Primary Topic
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

Decision‐Oriented Renewable Scenario Generation Based on Multi‐Scale Decomposition and WGAN ‐ GP

Expert Systems
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
article

Decision‐Oriented Renewable Scenario Generation Based on Multi‐Scale Decomposition and WGAN ‐ GP

article en

Abstract

ABSTRACT Nowadays, with the growing penetration of renewable generation, economic dispatch is increasingly important in short‐term power system operation. In this paper, a deep renewable scenario generation model combining Multi‐Scale Decomposition mixer and Wasserstein Generative Adversarial Network with Gradient Penalty is proposed to achieve novel decision‐oriented forecasting, thus realizing effective characterization of renewable temporal dynamics and economic performance. From the perspective of wind and solar generation, the validity of the proposed method is demonstrated on a real‐world dataset with power station at regional level. Experimental results confirm the superiority of model performance through statistical indicators and power system scheduling test, compared with a number of scenario generation and time series forecasting benchmarks.

Expert SystemsVol. 43(5)
Affordable and clean energy
Openalex Percentile: Top 10%
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
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