Diverse urban effects on precipitation over North American and European cities

Urban areas modify land-atmosphere interactions through urban heat islands, increased surface roughness, impervious surfaces, and anthropogenic aerosol emissions. These effects are expected to influence regional precipitation, with the IPCC reporting probable increases over and downwind of cities. Recent availability of long-term homogeneous, high spatial and temporal resolutions radar precipitation datasets at continental scales offers unprecedented opportunities to investigate the variability of urban effects on precipitation across cities. Wind-based analyses of urban effects, facilitated by these new datasets, have recently reached the continental scale, predominantly over the U.S. This study builds on this advancement by extending the framework to Europe, enabling the investigation of urban effects across distinct morphologies. Furthermore, we introduce an innovative step in the wind-based methodology to upscale event-level urban effects on precipitation to climatological timescales. Using data from 37 U.S. cities and 22 European cities, we identify a significant increase in total precipitation over urban and downwind areas compared to upwind zones. However, the results also reveal diverse urban effects, with some cities showing decreases or minimal changes. The analysis of precipitation characteristics at the climatological scale provides new insights: the observed increases in precipitation accumulation are linked to higher mean and maximum precipitation intensities over cities, while downwind zones experience longer precipitation event durations. Results show a positive correlation between urban extent and the magnitude of the urban precipitation effect (both over the city and downwind), while the downwind enhancement is additionally positively correlated with imperviousness and negatively correlated with the mean height of roughness elements. • A wind-based analysis is conducted for 59 cities across two continents. • Significant precipitation increases are observed over and downwind of cities. • New event-scale method to analyze urban precipitation at climatological scales. • Increased precipitation over cities is driven primarily by higher intensity. • Longer durations contribute to increased precipitation in downwind areas.

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Publication Details

Journal
Urban Climate
Published
2026-03-24
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.uclim.2026.102867
Primary Topic
Urban Heat Island Mitigation
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

Diverse urban effects on precipitation over North American and European cities

Sophie Bastin, Morgane Lalonde, Ludovic Oudin
Urban Climate
Urban Heat Island Mitigation
article

Diverse urban effects on precipitation over North American and European cities

Sophie Bastin, Morgane Lalonde, Ludovic Oudin
article en

Abstract

Urban areas modify land-atmosphere interactions through urban heat islands, increased surface roughness, impervious surfaces, and anthropogenic aerosol emissions. These effects are expected to influence regional precipitation, with the IPCC reporting probable increases over and downwind of cities. Recent availability of long-term homogeneous, high spatial and temporal resolutions radar precipitation datasets at continental scales offers unprecedented opportunities to investigate the variability of urban effects on precipitation across cities. Wind-based analyses of urban effects, facilitated by these new datasets, have recently reached the continental scale, predominantly over the U.S. This study builds on this advancement by extending the framework to Europe, enabling the investigation of urban effects across distinct morphologies. Furthermore, we introduce an innovative step in the wind-based methodology to upscale event-level urban effects on precipitation to climatological timescales. Using data from 37 U.S. cities and 22 European cities, we identify a significant increase in total precipitation over urban and downwind areas compared to upwind zones. However, the results also reveal diverse urban effects, with some cities showing decreases or minimal changes. The analysis of precipitation characteristics at the climatological scale provides new insights: the observed increases in precipitation accumulation are linked to higher mean and maximum precipitation intensities over cities, while downwind zones experience longer precipitation event durations. Results show a positive correlation between urban extent and the magnitude of the urban precipitation effect (both over the city and downwind), while the downwind enhancement is additionally positively correlated with imperviousness and negatively correlated with the mean height of roughness elements. • A wind-based analysis is conducted for 59 cities across two continents. • Significant precipitation increases are observed over and downwind of cities. • New event-scale method to analyze urban precipitation at climatological scales. • Increased precipitation over cities is driven primarily by higher intensity. • Longer durations contribute to increased precipitation in downwind areas.

Urban ClimateVol. 67
Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (FR), École Pratique des Hautes Études (FR), Université de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines (FR), Université Paris-Saclay (FR), Sorbonne Université (FR), Milieux environnementaux, transferts et interactions dans les hydrosystèmes et les sols (FR), Institut Pierre-Simon Laplace (FR), Laboratoire atmosphères, milieux, observations spatiales (FR)
Sustainable cities and communities
Openalex Percentile: Top 10%
Urban Heat Island Mitigation
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