Reproducible Adaptive MCMC via Sharing a Pretrained Generator Matrix across Runs and Structures

Learning-based and adaptive proposal mechanisms can substantially accelerate Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling, but they also introduce a previously underappreciated source of irreproducibility: path-dependent adaptation of the proposal kernel. Here, we systematically analyze this effect using generator-matrix-based adaptive MCMC and demonstrate that naive on-the-fly learning leads to severe run-to-run variability and sampler freezing. We show that short training produces a degenerate frozen sampler and that apparent overadaptation effects reported in small-seed analyses are artifacts of insufficient replication: with 10 seeds across 7 training lengths, spread variability (SD) decreases monotonically with training duration. To remedy these pathologies, we propose a simple and theoretically clean strategy in which a generator matrix is pretrained on a representative structure and then shared as a fixed proposal kernel across runs and related structures. The shared-matrix approach reduces cross-run spread by 68% compared to independent learning, transfers effectively across the related DNA structures tested here (transfer gap <1 Å), and maintains comparable sampling quality. Notably, we demonstrate that ensemble averaging of generator matrices degrades rather than improves performance and that minimizing apparent reproducibility metrics can be misleading when the sampler itself is adaptive. Our results establish practical guidelines for training length selection and provide a framework for reproducible adaptive MCMC, with quantitative validation demonstrated for coarse-grained DNA systems.

Publication Details

Journal
Journal of Chemical Information and Modeling
Published
2026-03-23
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1021/acs.jcim.6c00196
Primary Topic
Markov Chains and Monte Carlo Methods
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

Reproducible Adaptive MCMC via Sharing a Pretrained Generator Matrix across Runs and Structures

Journal of Chemical Information and Modeling
Markov Chains and Monte Carlo Methods
article

Reproducible Adaptive MCMC via Sharing a Pretrained Generator Matrix across Runs and Structures

article en

Abstract

Learning-based and adaptive proposal mechanisms can substantially accelerate Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling, but they also introduce a previously underappreciated source of irreproducibility: path-dependent adaptation of the proposal kernel. Here, we systematically analyze this effect using generator-matrix-based adaptive MCMC and demonstrate that naive on-the-fly learning leads to severe run-to-run variability and sampler freezing. We show that short training produces a degenerate frozen sampler and that apparent overadaptation effects reported in small-seed analyses are artifacts of insufficient replication: with 10 seeds across 7 training lengths, spread variability (SD) decreases monotonically with training duration. To remedy these pathologies, we propose a simple and theoretically clean strategy in which a generator matrix is pretrained on a representative structure and then shared as a fixed proposal kernel across runs and related structures. The shared-matrix approach reduces cross-run spread by 68% compared to independent learning, transfers effectively across the related DNA structures tested here (transfer gap <1 Å), and maintains comparable sampling quality. Notably, we demonstrate that ensemble averaging of generator matrices degrades rather than improves performance and that minimizing apparent reproducibility metrics can be misleading when the sampler itself is adaptive. Our results establish practical guidelines for training length selection and provide a framework for reproducible adaptive MCMC, with quantitative validation demonstrated for coarse-grained DNA systems.

Journal of Chemical Information and Modeling
Industry, innovation and infrastructure
Openalex Percentile: Top 16%
Markov Chains and Monte Carlo Methods
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