Heatwave Characteristics and Trends Across Eight Japanese Cities

ABSTRACT This study provides an assessment of warm season (May to September) heatwave characteristics and their trends across eight cities in Japan, using daily maximum ( T max ) and minimum ( T min ) temperature records spanning the period 1955 to 2022. T max and T min heatwaves were defined using a relative threshold approach and described in relation to their annual frequency, duration, and cumulative heat and exceedance probabilities. Man‐Kendall trend tests and spline regression techniques were applied to establish the nature of trends and to estimate the rates of change and acceleration of annual heatwave related cumulative heat. Findings confirm that heatwaves are an intrinsic feature of Japan's warm season climate, with annual exceedance probabilities greater than 60% for T max heatwaves and 70% for T min heatwaves across all eight locations. A pronounced north–south gradient was identified, with southern locations experiencing more frequent and longer‐lasting events, greater cumulative heat, and faster rates of heat accumulation, reflecting the influence of extended warm seasons and likely persistent subtropical high‐pressure systems. Strong evidence was found for an increase in annual heatwave frequency and duration and cumulative heat for both daytime and nocturnal heatwaves, especially for recent decades, with the trend in nocturnal heat particularly noticeable. Overall study findings contribute to a growing international literature on the evolving nature of heatwaves and their differential expression across space and time, which bears implications for the field of heatwave risk management under current and future climate.

Authors

Institutions

Publication Details

Journal
International Journal of Climatology
Published
2026-03-24
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.70361
Primary Topic
Climate variability and models
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
Controls
|||
ALL TIME
JAN
FEB
MAR
APR
MAY
JUN
JUL
AUG
SEP
OCT
article

Heatwave Characteristics and Trends Across Eight Japanese Cities

Glenn R. McGregor, Asuka Suzuki‐Parker
International Journal of Climatology
Climate variability and models
article

Heatwave Characteristics and Trends Across Eight Japanese Cities

Glenn R. McGregor, Asuka Suzuki‐Parker
article en

Abstract

ABSTRACT This study provides an assessment of warm season (May to September) heatwave characteristics and their trends across eight cities in Japan, using daily maximum ( T max ) and minimum ( T min ) temperature records spanning the period 1955 to 2022. T max and T min heatwaves were defined using a relative threshold approach and described in relation to their annual frequency, duration, and cumulative heat and exceedance probabilities. Man‐Kendall trend tests and spline regression techniques were applied to establish the nature of trends and to estimate the rates of change and acceleration of annual heatwave related cumulative heat. Findings confirm that heatwaves are an intrinsic feature of Japan's warm season climate, with annual exceedance probabilities greater than 60% for T max heatwaves and 70% for T min heatwaves across all eight locations. A pronounced north–south gradient was identified, with southern locations experiencing more frequent and longer‐lasting events, greater cumulative heat, and faster rates of heat accumulation, reflecting the influence of extended warm seasons and likely persistent subtropical high‐pressure systems. Strong evidence was found for an increase in annual heatwave frequency and duration and cumulative heat for both daytime and nocturnal heatwaves, especially for recent decades, with the trend in nocturnal heat particularly noticeable. Overall study findings contribute to a growing international literature on the evolving nature of heatwaves and their differential expression across space and time, which bears implications for the field of heatwave risk management under current and future climate.

International Journal of Climatology
Durham University (GB), Rissho University (JP)
Climate action
Openalex Percentile: Top 8%
Climate variability and models
AI Navigator

Ask Laika to Summarize, Analyze, and Connect papers live on the map.

Summarize Papers & Methodologies

Extract key findings, datasets, and comparative methods across publications.

Benchmark Rankings & Visual Analytics

Rank top research institutions, authors, funders, topics, and journals by Field-Weighted Citation Impact (FWCI) and paper volume with instant charts.

Connect Distant Disciplines

Bridge topological clusters on the map to find hidden collaborative intersections.

Heatwave Characteristics and Trends Across Eight Japanese Cities — Glenn R. McGregor, Asuka Suzuki‐Parker · International Journal of Climatology (2026) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS