Game Theory and Optimal Planning Strategy for Electricity Heat Multiple Heterogeneous Energy Systems Based on Deep Temporal Clustering Method

With the continuous increase in the penetration rate of renewable energy sources, the uncertainty of new energy output has brought significant risks and challenges to the planning strategy of integrated energy systems. Meanwhile, power grid operators and heat network operators, belonging to different stakeholder entities, exhibit complex cooperative-competitive game relationships, making it difficult to balance the interests of all parties. To address this issue, this paper proposes a game theory and optimal planning strategy for electricity-heat multiple heterogeneous energy systems based on a deep temporal clustering method from the perspective of different stakeholders. Firstly, typical scenarios of renewable energy output are generated through the deep temporal clustering method. Simultaneously, the charging and discharging behaviors of energy storage devices are utilized to assist the distribution system in new energy consumption. This paper incorporates battery life degradation costs into the objective function on the power grid side to achieve accurate accounting of energy storage device dispatch expenses. Additionally, an optimal dispatch model is established on the heat network side, upon which a game framework for multiple heterogeneous energy systems is constructed. The construction capacity and installation location of each flexible device can be determined through planning decisions in typical multi-scenario situations. Considering the non-convex and nonlinear characteristics of the model, this paper employs an improved firefly algorithm to achieve optimal solution search and rapid convergence. Finally, the effectiveness and feasibility of the proposed method are demonstrated through a case study of an electricity-heat energy system.