A Real-Time 2D Spatiotemporal Fire Spread Forecasting Artificial Intelligence Agent

During a tunnel fire, the foremost priority is the safe evacuation of passengers. Extreme temperatures and toxic combustion products can quickly lead to mass casualties, so evacuation support systems require fast forecasts of how hazardous conditions will evolve in space and time. This study investigates whether sparse sensor measurements can be used to reconstruct future tunnel-wide fire conditions on two-dimensional sections that are directly relevant to structural assessment and human exposure. To this end, we develop 2D ST-FAM, a data-driven forecasting model that maps time-resolved measurements from 75 tunnel sensors to future temperature, soot, and carbon monoxide (CO) fields derived from 108 computational fluid dynamics (CFD) fire simulations. The study is organized around three questions: whether the model can accurately reconstruct future tunnel fields from sparse measurements, whether this performance is maintained on both the vertical center plane and the horizontal breathing plane, and which physical quantities remain most challenging to predict. Results show high structural agreement with the CFD reference fields over the full 1800 s prediction horizon, with average structural similarity index (SSIM) values of 0.964 for temperature, 0.984 for CO, and 0.937 for soot. These findings indicate that sparse-sensor forecasting is feasible for tunnel-scale temperature and toxic-gas field prediction, while soot prediction remains comparatively more difficult because of its sharper spatial structures.

Authors

Institutions

Publication Details

Journal
Fire
Published
2026-03-23
DOI
https://doi.org/10.3390/fire9030137
Primary Topic
Fire dynamics and safety research
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
Controls
|||
ALL TIME
JAN
FEB
MAR
APR
MAY
JUN
JUL
AUG
SEP
OCT
article

A Real-Time 2D Spatiotemporal Fire Spread Forecasting Artificial Intelligence Agent

Seokwoo Hong, Taesoon Kwon, Kyohyuk Lee, YoonSeok Kim et al.
Fire
Fire dynamics and safety research
article

A Real-Time 2D Spatiotemporal Fire Spread Forecasting Artificial Intelligence Agent

Seokwoo Hong, Taesoon Kwon, Kyohyuk Lee, YoonSeok Kim, Deokhui Lee, Jonghoon Kim, Jaehwan Oh, Stephen Cha
article en

Abstract

During a tunnel fire, the foremost priority is the safe evacuation of passengers. Extreme temperatures and toxic combustion products can quickly lead to mass casualties, so evacuation support systems require fast forecasts of how hazardous conditions will evolve in space and time. This study investigates whether sparse sensor measurements can be used to reconstruct future tunnel-wide fire conditions on two-dimensional sections that are directly relevant to structural assessment and human exposure. To this end, we develop 2D ST-FAM, a data-driven forecasting model that maps time-resolved measurements from 75 tunnel sensors to future temperature, soot, and carbon monoxide (CO) fields derived from 108 computational fluid dynamics (CFD) fire simulations. The study is organized around three questions: whether the model can accurately reconstruct future tunnel fields from sparse measurements, whether this performance is maintained on both the vertical center plane and the horizontal breathing plane, and which physical quantities remain most challenging to predict. Results show high structural agreement with the CFD reference fields over the full 1800 s prediction horizon, with average structural similarity index (SSIM) values of 0.964 for temperature, 0.984 for CO, and 0.937 for soot. These findings indicate that sparse-sensor forecasting is feasible for tunnel-scale temperature and toxic-gas field prediction, while soot prediction remains comparatively more difficult because of its sharper spatial structures.

FireVol. 9(3)
Korea Kacoh (South Korea) (KR), Osan University (KR), Korea Railroad Research Institute (KR), Anyang University (KR)
Openalex Percentile: Top 9%
Fire dynamics and safety research
AI Navigator

Ask Laika to Summarize, Analyze, and Connect papers live on the map.

Summarize Papers & Methodologies

Extract key findings, datasets, and comparative methods across publications.

Benchmark Rankings & Visual Analytics

Rank top research institutions, authors, funders, topics, and journals by Field-Weighted Citation Impact (FWCI) and paper volume with instant charts.

Connect Distant Disciplines

Bridge topological clusters on the map to find hidden collaborative intersections.

A Real-Time 2D Spatiotemporal Fire Spread Forecasting Artificial Intelligence Agent — Seokwoo Hong, Taesoon Kwon, et al. · Fire (2026) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS