Stability and Direction of Hopf Bifurcation with Optimal Control Analysis of HIV Transmission Dynamics

In this study, we examine the effectiveness of combining interleukin-2 (IL-2) with highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART) in controlling HIV replication. A mathematical model of the immune system is developed to analyze immune recovery when IL-2 is administered alongside HAART. We investigate the stability of the endemic equilibrium and Hopf bifurcation and determine the direction and stability of periodic solutions using center manifold theory. Numerical simulations are conducted to support the theoretical findings. The results show that the disease-free equilibrium is stable when the basic reproduction number R0<1, while the endemic equilibrium exists when R0>1. Our results also reveal the presence of a subcritical Hopf bifurcation in the system. An optimal control problem is also studied, showing that the combined therapy of IL-2 and HAART improves treatment outcomes, reduces side effects, and has a unique optimal control pair. Sensitivity analysis further highlights the importance of system parameters in influencing treatment effectiveness.

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Publication Details

Journal
Mathematics
Published
2026-03-23
DOI
https://doi.org/10.3390/math14061079
Primary Topic
Mathematical and Theoretical Epidemiology and Ecology Models
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

Stability and Direction of Hopf Bifurcation with Optimal Control Analysis of HIV Transmission Dynamics

Ibraheem M. Alsulami, Fahad Al Basir
Mathematics
Mathematical and Theoretical Epidemiology and Ecology Models
article

Stability and Direction of Hopf Bifurcation with Optimal Control Analysis of HIV Transmission Dynamics

Ibraheem M. Alsulami, Fahad Al Basir
article en

Abstract

In this study, we examine the effectiveness of combining interleukin-2 (IL-2) with highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART) in controlling HIV replication. A mathematical model of the immune system is developed to analyze immune recovery when IL-2 is administered alongside HAART. We investigate the stability of the endemic equilibrium and Hopf bifurcation and determine the direction and stability of periodic solutions using center manifold theory. Numerical simulations are conducted to support the theoretical findings. The results show that the disease-free equilibrium is stable when the basic reproduction number R0<1, while the endemic equilibrium exists when R0>1. Our results also reveal the presence of a subcritical Hopf bifurcation in the system. An optimal control problem is also studied, showing that the combined therapy of IL-2 and HAART improves treatment outcomes, reduces side effects, and has a unique optimal control pair. Sensitivity analysis further highlights the importance of system parameters in influencing treatment effectiveness.

MathematicsVol. 14(6)
Umm al-Qura University (SA), Kazi Nazrul University (IN)
Good health and well-being
Openalex Percentile: Top 15%
Mathematical and Theoretical Epidemiology and Ecology Models
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