Assessment of Aquatic Ecological and Environmental Impacts of Dredging Engineering Based on VPPSO-PP: A Case Study of the Pinglu Canal Project

Evaluating the aquatic ecological and environmental consequences of dredging projects with precision is essential for reconciling engineering objectives with the long-term health of aquatic ecosystems. This study establishes an evaluation system for the aquatic ecological and environmental impacts of dredging engineering based on the Pressure–State–Response (PSR) analytical framework, and constructs a comprehensive assessment system through Velocity Pausing Particle Swarm Optimization–Projection Pursuit (VPPSO-PP) coupled with fuzzy pattern recognition. Taking the Pinglu Canal project as a case study, the objective weights of indicators are obtained via the VPPSO-PP method, and the impact levels are determined by combining the fuzzy pattern recognition model. Case studies show that the quality of discharged residual water is the most critical factor affecting the aquatic ecological environment, ranking highest with a weight of 0.0839, followed by the proportion of aquatic ecological restoration investment at 0.0685. Among the five typical dredging sections of the Pinglu Canal, the Shaping River section and the Offshore Estuary Section were rated as having a “mild impact.” In contrast, the Main Stream of Qinjiang River section, the Watershed section, and the Qinzhou urban section were rated as having a “moderate impact.” These evaluation results are consistent with the actual engineering conditions. The model developed in this study enables a quantitative and objective assessment of the aquatic ecological impacts of dredging projects. It provides a scientific basis and a practical tool for ecological management and decision-making in dredging operations.