Mortality Predictions Including Pre‐Admission Functional Status in <scp>ICU</scp> Patients With Delirium—A Substudy of the <scp>AID</scp> ‐ <scp>ICU</scp> Trial

This article presents mortality prediction models for ICU patients with delirium that incorporate pre-admission functional status and apply several modern statistical learning approaches, providing an instructive and transparent example of contemporary prediction modeling. The resulting elastic net regression models showed fair discrimination and good calibration for predicting 90-day and 1-year mortality, with frailty, age, and illness severity emerging as the strongest predictors. However, such models should be interpreted cautiously at the individual patient level and may be most useful for identifying patients at increased risk who may benefit from careful clinical assessment, individualized treatment, and close follow-up.

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Publication Details

Journal
Acta Anaesthesiologica Scandinavica
Published
2026-03-21
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1111/aas.70225
Primary Topic
Intensive Care Unit Cognitive Disorders
Type
article
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article

Mortality Predictions Including Pre‐Admission Functional Status in ICU Patients With Delirium—A Substudy of the AID ‐ ICU Trial

Lone Musaeus Poulsen, Ole Mathiesen, Andreas Weinberger Rosen, Nina Christine Andersen‐Ranberg et al.
Acta Anaesthesiologica Scandinavica
Intensive Care Unit Cognitive Disorders
article

Mortality Predictions Including Pre‐Admission Functional Status in ICU Patients With Delirium—A Substudy of the AID ‐ ICU Trial

Lone Musaeus Poulsen, Ole Mathiesen, Andreas Weinberger Rosen, Nina Christine Andersen‐Ranberg, Camilla Bekker Mortensen, Bodil Steen Rasmussen, Stine Estrup, Anders Perner
article en

Abstract

This article presents mortality prediction models for ICU patients with delirium that incorporate pre-admission functional status and apply several modern statistical learning approaches, providing an instructive and transparent example of contemporary prediction modeling. The resulting elastic net regression models showed fair discrimination and good calibration for predicting 90-day and 1-year mortality, with frailty, age, and illness severity emerging as the strongest predictors. However, such models should be interpreted cautiously at the individual patient level and may be most useful for identifying patients at increased risk who may benefit from careful clinical assessment, individualized treatment, and close follow-up.

Acta Anaesthesiologica ScandinavicaVol. 70(4)
University of Copenhagen (DK), Aalborg University Hospital (DK), Copenhagen University Hospital (DK), Rigshospitalet (DK), Zealand University Hospital (DK), Zealand University Hospital Køge (DK), Aalborg University (DK)
Reduced inequalities
Openalex Percentile: Top 17%
Intensive Care Unit Cognitive Disorders
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