The Political Dysfunction Tax

Website: https://manual.warondisease.org/knowledge/appendix/political-dysfunction-tax.html Abstract: Governance dysfunction suppresses roughly \$101T (95% CI: \$83.3T-\$191T) in recoverable value each year. Under this paper's 20-year transition model, the Minimum Sustainable Trajectory (1% Treaty) reaches 16.5x (95% CI: 5.17x-64.9x) the Earth baseline (\$3.11 quadrillion (95% CI: \$974T-\$12.2 quadrillion)), while the Optimal Governance Trajectory reaches 56.7x (95% CI: 19.3x-304x) the Earth baseline, raises average income to \$1.16M (95% CI: \$395K-\$6.22M) versus \$20.5K on the status-quo path, and reaches \$10.7 quadrillion (95% CI: \$3.64 quadrillion-\$57.2 quadrillion) in total output. This paper is the project's canonical derivation of that ceiling from an explicit waste ledger, opportunity ledger, and source-linked parameter model. [Incentive Alignment Bonds](https://iab.warondisease.org) are presented as the adoption mechanism, and full formulas, uncertainty ranges, and sensitivity outputs appear in [Methodology, Parameters, and Calculations](https://political-dysfunction-tax.warondisease.org/calculations.html). Summary: Quantifying the gap between current global governance and theoretical maximum welfare, estimating a 31-53% efficiency score and \$97 trillion in annual opportunity costs.