A hybrid framework for global weather forecasting via low-resolution dynamical core and multigrid neural operator

Abstract Numerical weather prediction is the cornerstone of modern weather forecasting, yet its operational implementation demands vast computational resources. While artificial intelligence (AI)-based forecasting models offer a computationally efficient alternative, these purely data-driven approaches often sacrifice physical consistency. Here, we bridge physics-based and AI-based models through a novel, efficient hybrid framework that integrates a low-resolution atmospheric dynamical core with a neural operator in the multigrid architecture. This framework achieves performance comparable to that of state-of-the-art medium-range global weather forecasting models, while incurring much lower training costs, and simultaneously enhances the physical consistency that black-box models often lack. Furthermore, our framework provides substantial flexibility in the choice of dynamical cores, since the training process of the neural network does not require gradient propagation through the dynamical core, which ensures scalability to a wide range of operational forecasting systems.

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Publication Details

Journal
npj Climate and Atmospheric Science
Published
2026-03-20
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-026-01374-z
Primary Topic
Meteorological Phenomena and Simulations
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

A hybrid framework for global weather forecasting via low-resolution dynamical core and multigrid neural operator

Fukang Yin, Yifan HU, Junqiang Song, Kaijun Ren et al.
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Meteorological Phenomena and Simulations
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A hybrid framework for global weather forecasting via low-resolution dynamical core and multigrid neural operator

Fukang Yin, Yifan HU, Junqiang Song, Kaijun Ren, Weimin Zhang, Kefeng Deng
article en

Abstract

Abstract Numerical weather prediction is the cornerstone of modern weather forecasting, yet its operational implementation demands vast computational resources. While artificial intelligence (AI)-based forecasting models offer a computationally efficient alternative, these purely data-driven approaches often sacrifice physical consistency. Here, we bridge physics-based and AI-based models through a novel, efficient hybrid framework that integrates a low-resolution atmospheric dynamical core with a neural operator in the multigrid architecture. This framework achieves performance comparable to that of state-of-the-art medium-range global weather forecasting models, while incurring much lower training costs, and simultaneously enhances the physical consistency that black-box models often lack. Furthermore, our framework provides substantial flexibility in the choice of dynamical cores, since the training process of the neural network does not require gradient propagation through the dynamical core, which ensures scalability to a wide range of operational forecasting systems.

npj Climate and Atmospheric Science
National University of Defense Technology (CN)
Climate action
Openalex Percentile: Top 9%
Meteorological Phenomena and Simulations
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