High-sensitivity pan-cancer AI assessment of lymph node metastasis via uncertainty quantification

The histological heterogeneity of primary tumors across the pan-cancer spectrum poses a formidable barrier to accurate lymph node metastasis assessment, often causing AI systems to make "overconfident errors" on rare variants that lead to missed diagnoses. To address this, we present UPATHLN, a unified diagnostic platform that synergizes a pathology foundation model-based encoder with a decoupled uncertainty estimation mechanism. We developed and validated the system using a large-scale multicentre dataset of 26,229 lymph nodes from 14 distinct primary origins. In internal validation, UPATHLN achieved an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.986. Crucially, the uncertainty module functioned as a decisive fail-safe: by flagging potential false-negative predictions for mandatory pathologist review, it intercepted all missed diagnoses, securing 100% conditional sensitivity across both the development and independent test cohorts-even for tumors from seven unseen primary origins. Concurrently, this mechanism reduced the review burden on negative lymph nodes by 73.2%. Ultimately, UPATHLN sets a new benchmark for safety-critical AI, demonstrating that explicitly modeling uncertainty is key to unlocking reliable, workload-efficient diagnostics at the pan-cancer scale.

Authors

Institutions

Publication Details

Journal
npj Digital Medicine
Published
2026-03-21
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41746-026-02564-y
Primary Topic
AI in cancer detection
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
Controls
|||
ALL TIME
JAN
FEB
MAR
APR
MAY
JUN
JUL
AUG
SEP
OCT
article

High-sensitivity pan-cancer AI assessment of lymph node metastasis via uncertainty quantification

Mengjiao Cai, Cen Qiu, Jinlu Ma, Lirong Ai et al.
npj Digital Medicine
AI in cancer detection
article

High-sensitivity pan-cancer AI assessment of lymph node metastasis via uncertainty quantification

Mengjiao Cai, Cen Qiu, Jinlu Ma, Lirong Ai, Tao Huang, Xiongjun Wang, Sainan Ma, Qingyun Sun, guanzhen yu, Xinlei Zhang, Siqi Guo, Zichen Chang, Boan Zhang, Jinge Liu, Chenguang Bai, Biyu Wang, Wulei Qian, Shaoqing Yu, Ninghan Feng, Meng LI, Xiyang Liu, Bin Wang, Min Shi, Liming Wang, Ying Chen, Jinda Li, Xiaodong Wang, Jiahai Wang, Hong Tang, Xiaohong Liu
article en

Abstract

The histological heterogeneity of primary tumors across the pan-cancer spectrum poses a formidable barrier to accurate lymph node metastasis assessment, often causing AI systems to make "overconfident errors" on rare variants that lead to missed diagnoses. To address this, we present UPATHLN, a unified diagnostic platform that synergizes a pathology foundation model-based encoder with a decoupled uncertainty estimation mechanism. We developed and validated the system using a large-scale multicentre dataset of 26,229 lymph nodes from 14 distinct primary origins. In internal validation, UPATHLN achieved an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.986. Crucially, the uncertainty module functioned as a decisive fail-safe: by flagging potential false-negative predictions for mandatory pathologist review, it intercepted all missed diagnoses, securing 100% conditional sensitivity across both the development and independent test cohorts-even for tumors from seven unseen primary origins. Concurrently, this mechanism reduced the review burden on negative lymph nodes by 73.2%. Ultimately, UPATHLN sets a new benchmark for safety-critical AI, demonstrating that explicitly modeling uncertainty is key to unlocking reliable, workload-efficient diagnostics at the pan-cancer scale.

npj Digital Medicine
Jiangnan University (CN), Tongji University (CN), Xidian University (CN), University of Electronic Science and Technology of China (CN), Northwestern Polytechnical University (CN), Shanghai Jiao Tong University (CN), Guangzhou University (CN), Changchun Institute of Optics, Fine Mechanics and Physics (CN), Shanghai Ninth People's Hospital (CN), Xi'an Medical University (CN), 82th Hospital of Pla (CN), Sichuan Cancer Hospital (CN), First Affiliated Hospital of Xi'an Jiaotong University (CN), Zhejiang Lab (CN), Tongji Hospital (CN)
Openalex Percentile: Top 17%
AI in cancer detection
AI Navigator

Ask Laika to Summarize, Analyze, and Connect papers live on the map.

Summarize Papers & Methodologies

Extract key findings, datasets, and comparative methods across publications.

Benchmark Rankings & Visual Analytics

Rank top research institutions, authors, funders, topics, and journals by Field-Weighted Citation Impact (FWCI) and paper volume with instant charts.

Connect Distant Disciplines

Bridge topological clusters on the map to find hidden collaborative intersections.