Towards a typology for hybrid compound flood modeling

Abstract. Modeling compound flood events requires sophisticated approaches that can capture complex nonlinear interactions between multiple flood drivers. While combining different data-driven and physics-based modeling approaches has shown promise, the criteria for classifying such combinations and the underlying terminology to describe them remain inconsistent in the literature. To establish classification criteria, we introduce a systematic framework for defining and categorizing hybrid physical-statistical modeling approaches in compound flood modeling. Hybrid compound flood models offer significant advantages in terms of prediction accuracy and computational efficiency over traditional single-model approaches, particularly in coastal regions where multiple flooding mechanisms frequently interact. We identify three categories of hybrid models: sequential, feedback, and ensemble. Through illustrative examples, we demonstrate how each category leverages the strengths of its component models while also maintaining their independence. The proposed framework enables a systematic evaluation of different hybrid modeling strategies, enhancing model comparability and supporting the development of more effective compound flood prediction tools.

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Publication Details

Journal
Hydrology and earth system sciences
Published
2026-03-17
DOI
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-30-1397-2026
Primary Topic
Flood Risk Assessment and Management
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

Towards a typology for hybrid compound flood modeling

Ferdinand Diermanse, Soheil Radfar, Avantika Gori, Amir AghaKouchak et al.
Hydrology and earth system sciences
Flood Risk Assessment and Management
article

Towards a typology for hybrid compound flood modeling

Ferdinand Diermanse, Soheil Radfar, Avantika Gori, Amir AghaKouchak, David F. Muñoz, Ning Lin, Hamed Moftakhari
article en

Abstract

Abstract. Modeling compound flood events requires sophisticated approaches that can capture complex nonlinear interactions between multiple flood drivers. While combining different data-driven and physics-based modeling approaches has shown promise, the criteria for classifying such combinations and the underlying terminology to describe them remain inconsistent in the literature. To establish classification criteria, we introduce a systematic framework for defining and categorizing hybrid physical-statistical modeling approaches in compound flood modeling. Hybrid compound flood models offer significant advantages in terms of prediction accuracy and computational efficiency over traditional single-model approaches, particularly in coastal regions where multiple flooding mechanisms frequently interact. We identify three categories of hybrid models: sequential, feedback, and ensemble. Through illustrative examples, we demonstrate how each category leverages the strengths of its component models while also maintaining their independence. The proposed framework enables a systematic evaluation of different hybrid modeling strategies, enhancing model comparability and supporting the development of more effective compound flood prediction tools.

Hydrology and earth system sciencesVol. 30(5)
University of Alabama (US), Princeton University (US), University of California, Irvine (US), Deltares (NL), Irvine University (US), Rice University (US), Virginia Tech (US)
Life below water
Openalex Percentile: Top 17%
Flood Risk Assessment and Management
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