LUCIDiT: A Lean Urban Comfort Intelligent Digital Twin for Quick Mean Radiant Temperature Assessment

The intensification of Global Warming and Urban Heat Island phenomena necessitates advanced, computationally effective tools for evaluating outdoor thermal comfort and microclimatic dynamics by means of Mean Radiant Temperature assessment. However, existing high-resolution physical models often suffer from prohibitive computational costs. This research proposes LUCIDiT (Lean Urban Comfort Intelligent Digital Twin), a physically based modeling framework implemented for a quick mean radiant temperature assessment inside complex urban morphologies. The method integrates a simplified balance of mutual radiative heat exchanges with recursive time-series filtering to account for the thermal inertia of different urban materials, alongside greenery heat exchange due to evapotranspiration. This architecture creates an operational urban comfort digital twin that reduces computational times by orders of magnitude for large-scale mappings, without sacrificing physical accuracy. Validation against drone-acquired thermographic data and the established Urban Multi-scale Environmental Predictor model demonstrates high reliability and coherence with the real physical phenomena and context. The application to an urban pilot site in Florence reveals that strategic interventions, such as substituting impervious surfaces with irrigated greenery and arboreal canopies, can mitigate radiant loads by up to 20 °C. Findings show that the proposed urban comfort digital twin can be a robust, scalable instrument for designing evidence-based climate adaptation strategies and quick testing mitigation scenarios to enhance urban resilience.