Impacts of Mean State Ocean Heat Transport on Climate and Its Response to CO <sub>2</sub> Forcing

Abstract Simulations of the slab ocean configuration of the coupled Energy Exascale Earth System Model (E3SM) were used to isolate the role of poleward ocean heat transport (OHT) in shaping the climate and its response to CO 2 forcing. Imposed changes to mean‐state OHT produce compensating changes in atmospheric heat transport (AHT) that are mediated by changes in surface evaporation. A reduction of maximum OHT by 0.56 PW (32%) reduces the global mean surface air temperature by 3.6°C. However, this cooler mean state exhibits 1.2°C more warming under CO 2 quadrupling, with the largest differences occurring at high latitudes. The amplified warming arises from stronger surface albedo and lapse rate feedbacks in polar regions and a shortwave cloud feedback in the southern midlatitudes. These results highlight the critical role of mean‐state OHT in modulating mean‐state climate, the partitioning between the OHT and AHT, and climate sensitivity.

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Publication Details

Journal
Geophysical Research Letters
Published
2026-03-16
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1029/2025gl120436
Primary Topic
Oceanographic and Atmospheric Processes
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

Impacts of Mean State Ocean Heat Transport on Climate and Its Response to CO 2 Forcing

Qiuxian Li, Kyle C. Armour, LuAnne Thompson, Oluwayemi A. Garuba et al.
Geophysical Research Letters
Oceanographic and Atmospheric Processes
article

Impacts of Mean State Ocean Heat Transport on Climate and Its Response to CO 2 Forcing

Qiuxian Li, Kyle C. Armour, LuAnne Thompson, Oluwayemi A. Garuba, W. S. Cheng, Jiaxu Zhang, Jian Lu, Bryce E. Harrop
article en

Abstract

Abstract Simulations of the slab ocean configuration of the coupled Energy Exascale Earth System Model (E3SM) were used to isolate the role of poleward ocean heat transport (OHT) in shaping the climate and its response to CO 2 forcing. Imposed changes to mean‐state OHT produce compensating changes in atmospheric heat transport (AHT) that are mediated by changes in surface evaporation. A reduction of maximum OHT by 0.56 PW (32%) reduces the global mean surface air temperature by 3.6°C. However, this cooler mean state exhibits 1.2°C more warming under CO 2 quadrupling, with the largest differences occurring at high latitudes. The amplified warming arises from stronger surface albedo and lapse rate feedbacks in polar regions and a shortwave cloud feedback in the southern midlatitudes. These results highlight the critical role of mean‐state OHT in modulating mean‐state climate, the partitioning between the OHT and AHT, and climate sensitivity.

Geophysical Research LettersVol. 53(6)
Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (US), Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences (US), University of Washington (US), NOAA Pacific Marine Environmental Laboratory (US), Ocean University of China (CN)
Climate action
Openalex Percentile: Top 18%
Oceanographic and Atmospheric Processes
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Impacts of Mean State Ocean Heat Transport on Climate and Its Response to CO <sub>2</sub> Forcing — Qiuxian Li, Kyle C. Armour, et al. · Geophysical Research Letters (2026) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS