Calibrating the Predictions of User Preferences in Top-Ranked Items

Well-calibrated predictions of user preferences are essential for many applications. For example, displaying the predicted values alongside recommended items can support user decisions on whether to consume the items. Since recommender systems typically select the top-N items for users, it is crucial to ensure calibration for those top-N items, rather than for all items. In the aforementioned scenario, users only examine the top-N items and their predictions. In this work, we first demonstrate that previous calibration methods result in miscalibrated predictions for the top-N items, despite exhibiting excellent calibration performance when evaluated on all items. We address the issue of miscalibration in the top-N recommended items by first defining evaluation metrics tailored to this objective. Subsequently, we propose a generic method to optimize calibration models with a focus on the top-N items. This method groups the top-N items by their ranks and optimizes distinct calibration models for each group using rank-dependent training weights. We verify the effectiveness of the proposed method for both explicit and implicit feedback datasets, utilizing diverse classes of recommender models.

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Publication Details

Journal
ACM Transactions on Recommender Systems
Published
2026-03-17
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1145/3802923
Primary Topic
Recommender Systems and Techniques
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

Calibrating the Predictions of User Preferences in Top-Ranked Items

Masahiro Sato
ACM Transactions on Recommender Systems
Recommender Systems and Techniques
article

Calibrating the Predictions of User Preferences in Top-Ranked Items

Masahiro Sato
article en

Abstract

Well-calibrated predictions of user preferences are essential for many applications. For example, displaying the predicted values alongside recommended items can support user decisions on whether to consume the items. Since recommender systems typically select the top-N items for users, it is crucial to ensure calibration for those top-N items, rather than for all items. In the aforementioned scenario, users only examine the top-N items and their predictions. In this work, we first demonstrate that previous calibration methods result in miscalibrated predictions for the top-N items, despite exhibiting excellent calibration performance when evaluated on all items. We address the issue of miscalibration in the top-N recommended items by first defining evaluation metrics tailored to this objective. Subsequently, we propose a generic method to optimize calibration models with a focus on the top-N items. This method groups the top-N items by their ranks and optimizes distinct calibration models for each group using rank-dependent training weights. We verify the effectiveness of the proposed method for both explicit and implicit feedback datasets, utilizing diverse classes of recommender models.

ACM Transactions on Recommender Systems
Fujifilm (Japan) (JP)
Openalex Percentile: Top 20%
Recommender Systems and Techniques
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