Fuel Supply Chain Prospects in the On-Going Transition to Sustainable Ship Propulsion: A Multifaceted Paradigm Ahead

Shipping is urgently exploring alternative vessel energy sources across a wide range of options—from other fossil fuels to renewables—with a view to more sustainable ship propulsion. Based on processing of publicly available data, the authors discuss the prospects of the supply chains for 16 vessel power sources alternative to oil, comparing descriptive statistics across respective fuel supply chain key performance indicators (KPIs) to evaluate potentiality along with hidden vulnerabilities. While finding marked differences across calculated mean, standard deviation and coefficient of variation values, the authors do not preclude the development of parallel ship fuel supply chains, unlike the case of previous fuel transitions in shipping. To support this scenario, already formed in practice, they emphasize the enabling attributes of today’s world fleet in terms of total capacity and of size of each of the main shipping sectors which could eventually sustain nowadays multiple fuel supply chains. Concluding on limitations and challenges that such an energy-source multitude can create, the authors underline the need to consider in the Life-Cycle Assessment (LCA) of shipping fuels their total impact, including necessary ship hardware changes for a more thorough assessment of fuels’ impact across the entire shipping services’ supply chain.