Flood-LLM: An AI-Driven Framework for Property-Level Flood Risk Assessment Using Multi-Source Urban Data

Flood risk maps play a critical role in land-use regulation, infrastructure planning, and community preparedness, which are key components of sustainable and climate-resilient urban development. Their production, however, remains costly, labor-intensive, and time-demanding as it relies on simulation-driven workflows that combine hydrodynamic modeling with expert interpretation and extensive validation. To address this issue from a sustainability perspective, we develop a novel, practical, and near-real-time large language model (LLM)-based framework to support property-level flood risk assessment. This framework, which synthesizes geospatial, hydrological, infrastructural, and historical flood information, extends existing research and explores novel risk estimation methods for use in planning practice. Using Brisbane, Australia, as a case study, we develop Flood-LLM, a multi-agent system that transforms multi-source urban datasets into structured textual representations, models diverse neighborhood conditions, and fine-tunes a reasoning model using expert-assessed risk classifications. The results show that Flood-LLM can reproduce official flood risk labels for creek, river, storm tide, and overland-flow hazards with reasonable accuracy, outperforming classical machine learning, deep learning, and untuned LLM baselines. Visual and quantitative analyses indicate that the framework demonstrates a qualitatively nuanced capability to capture salient spatial patterns present in the official maps, while generating a textual chain-of-thought providing a transparent audit trail for its labeling decisions. These findings suggest that such LLM-based approaches can produce potential complementary tools to expert-reviewed planning classifications and support more sustainable, adaptive flood risk management by enabling timely map production and updates that facilitate informed decision-making in rapidly changing environmental conditions.

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Publication Details

Journal
Sustainability
Published
2026-03-17
DOI
https://doi.org/10.3390/su18062957
Primary Topic
Flood Risk Assessment and Management
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

Flood-LLM: An AI-Driven Framework for Property-Level Flood Risk Assessment Using Multi-Source Urban Data

Yifei Wang, Manfredo Manfredini, Jing Jiang
Sustainability
Flood Risk Assessment and Management
article

Flood-LLM: An AI-Driven Framework for Property-Level Flood Risk Assessment Using Multi-Source Urban Data

Yifei Wang, Manfredo Manfredini, Jing Jiang
article en

Abstract

Flood risk maps play a critical role in land-use regulation, infrastructure planning, and community preparedness, which are key components of sustainable and climate-resilient urban development. Their production, however, remains costly, labor-intensive, and time-demanding as it relies on simulation-driven workflows that combine hydrodynamic modeling with expert interpretation and extensive validation. To address this issue from a sustainability perspective, we develop a novel, practical, and near-real-time large language model (LLM)-based framework to support property-level flood risk assessment. This framework, which synthesizes geospatial, hydrological, infrastructural, and historical flood information, extends existing research and explores novel risk estimation methods for use in planning practice. Using Brisbane, Australia, as a case study, we develop Flood-LLM, a multi-agent system that transforms multi-source urban datasets into structured textual representations, models diverse neighborhood conditions, and fine-tunes a reasoning model using expert-assessed risk classifications. The results show that Flood-LLM can reproduce official flood risk labels for creek, river, storm tide, and overland-flow hazards with reasonable accuracy, outperforming classical machine learning, deep learning, and untuned LLM baselines. Visual and quantitative analyses indicate that the framework demonstrates a qualitatively nuanced capability to capture salient spatial patterns present in the official maps, while generating a textual chain-of-thought providing a transparent audit trail for its labeling decisions. These findings suggest that such LLM-based approaches can produce potential complementary tools to expert-reviewed planning classifications and support more sustainable, adaptive flood risk management by enabling timely map production and updates that facilitate informed decision-making in rapidly changing environmental conditions.

SustainabilityVol. 18(6)
University of Auckland (NZ), Auckland University of Technology (NZ)
Sustainable cities and communities
Openalex Percentile: Top 18%
Flood Risk Assessment and Management
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