The potential for onshore wind repowering to hasten the energy transition in the United States

This study explores whether repowering onshore wind farms will help the United States (US) meet a much larger share of its current electricity demand with wind. Repowering upgrades existing wind farms with new turbines, increasing wind-farm capacity and electricity generation, with less new land requirements than greenfield projects. We analyze the US Wind Turbine Database and project the potential of US wind repowering under different scenarios. Results show that repowering alone could more than double the current US onshore wind nameplate capacity, from 153 GW to ~314 GW, at existing farms. The resulting annual onshore wind electricity generation could increase from 453 TWh in 2024 to ~911 TWh for the same weather year after repowering the fleet. Repowering could allow onshore wind to meet 21%, instead of 10.5%, of 2024 US electricity demand. Repowering is a potential multi-billion-dollar industry in the United States.

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Publication Details

Journal
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
Published
2026-03-16
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2521050123
Primary Topic
Wind Energy Research and Development
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

The potential for onshore wind repowering to hasten the energy transition in the United States

M. Z. Jacobson, Daniel J. Sambor, Yuanbei F. Fan, Andreas Mühlbauer
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
Wind Energy Research and Development
article

The potential for onshore wind repowering to hasten the energy transition in the United States

M. Z. Jacobson, Daniel J. Sambor, Yuanbei F. Fan, Andreas Mühlbauer
article en

Abstract

This study explores whether repowering onshore wind farms will help the United States (US) meet a much larger share of its current electricity demand with wind. Repowering upgrades existing wind farms with new turbines, increasing wind-farm capacity and electricity generation, with less new land requirements than greenfield projects. We analyze the US Wind Turbine Database and project the potential of US wind repowering under different scenarios. Results show that repowering alone could more than double the current US onshore wind nameplate capacity, from 153 GW to ~314 GW, at existing farms. The resulting annual onshore wind electricity generation could increase from 453 TWh in 2024 to ~911 TWh for the same weather year after repowering the fleet. Repowering could allow onshore wind to meet 21%, instead of 10.5%, of 2024 US electricity demand. Repowering is a potential multi-billion-dollar industry in the United States.

Proceedings of the National Academy of SciencesVol. 123(12)
Stanford University (US)
Affordable and clean energy
Openalex Percentile: Top 18%
Wind Energy Research and Development
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The potential for onshore wind repowering to hasten the energy transition in the United States — M. Z. Jacobson, Daniel J. Sambor, et al. · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (2026) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS