Responsible AI for Sepsis Prediction: Bridging the Gap Between Machine Learning Performance and Clinical Trust

<b>Background:</b> Sepsis remains a leading cause of mortality in intensive care units (ICUs) worldwide. Machine learning models for clinical prediction must be accurate, fair, transparent, and reliable to ensure that physicians feel confident in their decision-making processes. <b>Methods:</b> We used the MIMIC-IV (version 3.1) database to evaluate several machine learning architectures, including Logistic Regression, XGBoost, LightGBM, LSTM (Long Short-Term Memory) networks and Transformer models. We predicted three main clinical targets-hospital mortality, length of stay, and septic shock onset-using artificial intelligence algorithms, with respect for responsible AI principles. Model interpretability was assessed using Shapley Additive Explanations (SHAP). <b>Results:</b> The XGBoost model demonstrated superior performance in prediction tasks, particularly for hospital mortality (AUROC 0.874), outperforming traditional LSTM networks, Transformers, and linear baselines. The importance analysis of the variables confirmed the clinical relevance of the model. <b>Conclusions:</b> While XGBoost and ensemble algorithms demonstrate superior predictive power for sepsis prognosis, their clinical adoption necessitates robust explainability mechanisms to gain trust among doctors.

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Publication Details

Journal
Journal of Clinical Medicine
Published
2026-03-16
DOI
https://doi.org/10.3390/jcm15062251
Primary Topic
Sepsis Diagnosis and Treatment
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

Responsible AI for Sepsis Prediction: Bridging the Gap Between Machine Learning Performance and Clinical Trust

Leandro A. Carvalho, T. A. Moura Oliveira, Daniel A. B. Tavares, João B. F. Filho et al.
Journal of Clinical Medicine
Sepsis Diagnosis and Treatment
article

Responsible AI for Sepsis Prediction: Bridging the Gap Between Machine Learning Performance and Clinical Trust

Leandro A. Carvalho, T. A. Moura Oliveira, Daniel A. B. Tavares, João B. F. Filho, Khalil F. Oliveira, Flávio R. C. Sousa
article en

Abstract

<b>Background:</b> Sepsis remains a leading cause of mortality in intensive care units (ICUs) worldwide. Machine learning models for clinical prediction must be accurate, fair, transparent, and reliable to ensure that physicians feel confident in their decision-making processes. <b>Methods:</b> We used the MIMIC-IV (version 3.1) database to evaluate several machine learning architectures, including Logistic Regression, XGBoost, LightGBM, LSTM (Long Short-Term Memory) networks and Transformer models. We predicted three main clinical targets-hospital mortality, length of stay, and septic shock onset-using artificial intelligence algorithms, with respect for responsible AI principles. Model interpretability was assessed using Shapley Additive Explanations (SHAP). <b>Results:</b> The XGBoost model demonstrated superior performance in prediction tasks, particularly for hospital mortality (AUROC 0.874), outperforming traditional LSTM networks, Transformers, and linear baselines. The importance analysis of the variables confirmed the clinical relevance of the model. <b>Conclusions:</b> While XGBoost and ensemble algorithms demonstrate superior predictive power for sepsis prognosis, their clinical adoption necessitates robust explainability mechanisms to gain trust among doctors.

Journal of Clinical MedicineVol. 15(6)
Universidade Federal do Ceará (BR), Instituto Federal de Educação, Ciência e Tecnologia do Ceará (BR), Hospital Geral de Fortaleza (BR)
Good health and well-being
Openalex Percentile: Top 22%
Sepsis Diagnosis and Treatment
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