Predicting and interpreting cell-type-specific drug responses in the small-data regime using inductive priors
Predicting how small molecules affect diverse cell types phenotypically is central to drug discovery, yet it remains a challenging task. Modelling cell-type-specific transcriptional responses provides a scalable alternative for early candidate identification, enabling broader exploration and lower costs than exhaustive experimental exploration of the chemical space. Here we present PrePR-CT, a graph-based deep learning approach that utilizes cell-type-specific co-expression networks as an inductive bias to predict transcriptional responses to chemical perturbations. Graph attention networks learn biologically meaningful representations that capture cell-type-specific gene interactions, enabling gene-level attributions. Across five single-cell RNA sequencing datasets, including human blood and multiple cancer lines, one bulk transcriptomics dataset and a large-scale small-molecule screen, the method generalizes to unseen perturbations and previously unseen cell types under data-limited settings, achieving higher accuracy for expression variability compared to generative baselines. Attribution analyses identify high-attention genes that complement traditional differential expression analyses, highlighting pathway-specific mechanisms of small-molecule response. By combining scalability, robustness to distribution shifts and interpretability, PrePR-CT enables cell-type-resolved prediction of drug responses, providing a foundation for more precise modelling of cellular perturbations in early drug discovery. Alsulami et al. present PrePR-CT, a computational approach that predicts how different cell types respond to drug-like compounds using limited data. By integrating biological networks with machine learning, it improves accuracy, interpretability and efficiency in early drug discovery.
Authors
- Vincenzo Lagani (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6552-6076)
- Robert Lehmann (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7071-4226)
- Jesper Tegnér (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9568-5588)
- Alberto Maillo (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3835-9794)
- D Gomez-Cabrero
- Reem Alsulami
- Narsis A. Kiani
- Sumeer A. Khan
Institutions
- Karolinska University Hospital (SE)
- Universidad Pública de Navarra (UPNA) (ES)
- Ilia State University (GE)
- Science for Life Laboratory (SE)
- Karolinska Institutet (SE)
- Navarrabiomed (ES)
- King Abdullah University of Science and Technology (SA)
Publication Details
- Journal
- Nature Machine Intelligence
- Published
- 2026-03-16
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.1038/s42256-026-01202-2
- Primary Topic
- Single-cell and spatial transcriptomics
- Type
- article
- Field-Weighted Citation Impact
- 0.00
Funders
- European Commission
- King Abdullah University of Science and Technology
- HORIZON EUROPE Framework Programme