Future Election Prediction By using ML

This research presents a machine learning–based framework for predicting future election outcomes by integrating historical election data with sentiment analysis derived from political text and social media discussions. The proposed system combines Natural Language Processing (NLP) techniques such as VADER and TextBlob with a Random Forest classification model to analyze voter sentiment and political trends.The dataset used in this study includes multiple factors influencing election outcomes, such as polling percentages, voter demographics, campaign spending, economic indicators, and sentiment scores extracted from textual political data. These features are processed through a structured machine learning pipeline involving data preprocessing, feature engineering, sentiment extraction, and predictive modeling.Experimental evaluation demonstrates that incorporating sentiment analysis significantly improves prediction accuracy compared with traditional polling-based models. Visualization techniques including confusion matrices, feature importance graphs, and prediction comparison plots are used to interpret model performance and identify influential election factors.The proposed framework provides an effective data-driven approach for political analysis and election forecasting. It can assist political analysts, researchers, and policymakers in understanding voter behavior and predicting election trends using machine learning and sentiment analytics.

Authors

Institutions

Publication Details

Journal
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Published
2026-03-16
DOI
https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.19047955
Primary Topic
Sentiment Analysis and Opinion Mining
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
Controls
|||
ALL TIME
JAN
FEB
MAR
APR
MAY
JUN
JUL
AUG
SEP
OCT
article

Future Election Prediction By using ML

A.Sinthiya 1, M.prathap 4, G.Sivakumar 2, S.Vijay Guna 3 et al.
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Sentiment Analysis and Opinion Mining
article

Future Election Prediction By using ML

A.Sinthiya 1, M.prathap 4, G.Sivakumar 2, S.Vijay Guna 3, P.Yuvaraja 5
article en

Abstract

This research presents a machine learning–based framework for predicting future election outcomes by integrating historical election data with sentiment analysis derived from political text and social media discussions. The proposed system combines Natural Language Processing (NLP) techniques such as VADER and TextBlob with a Random Forest classification model to analyze voter sentiment and political trends.The dataset used in this study includes multiple factors influencing election outcomes, such as polling percentages, voter demographics, campaign spending, economic indicators, and sentiment scores extracted from textual political data. These features are processed through a structured machine learning pipeline involving data preprocessing, feature engineering, sentiment extraction, and predictive modeling.Experimental evaluation demonstrates that incorporating sentiment analysis significantly improves prediction accuracy compared with traditional polling-based models. Visualization techniques including confusion matrices, feature importance graphs, and prediction comparison plots are used to interpret model performance and identify influential election factors.The proposed framework provides an effective data-driven approach for political analysis and election forecasting. It can assist political analysts, researchers, and policymakers in understanding voter behavior and predicting election trends using machine learning and sentiment analytics.

Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Swami Vivekanand College of Pharmacy (IN)
Openalex Percentile: Top 24%
Sentiment Analysis and Opinion Mining
AI Navigator

Ask Laika to Summarize, Analyze, and Connect papers live on the map.

Summarize Papers & Methodologies

Extract key findings, datasets, and comparative methods across publications.

Benchmark Rankings & Visual Analytics

Rank top research institutions, authors, funders, topics, and journals by Field-Weighted Citation Impact (FWCI) and paper volume with instant charts.

Connect Distant Disciplines

Bridge topological clusters on the map to find hidden collaborative intersections.