Seismic microzonation maps of Vs and fundamental frequency (f) for plain areas using single-station microtremor data and bayesian neural networks

• The estimated ground structures are validated using the available borelog data. • BNN + single station microtremor enables fast, uncertainty-aware Vs30 estimation. • Reduces site characterization time from days to seconds; scalable for microzonation. • Provide cost-effective seismic site response assessment using microtremors. Accurate estimation of the time-averaged shear wave velocity in the upper 30 m ( Vs 30 ) is essential for seismic microzonation, ground motion simulation, and earthquake risk assessment. Traditional microzonation methods often rely on dense seismic arrays and extensive geotechnical investigations, which are costly and time-consuming. This study presents a practical Bayesian Neural Network (BNN) framework that integrates horizontal-to-vertical spectral ratio (HVSR) curves from single-station microtremor measurements with site-specific physical constraints to achieve high-accuracy Vs 30 predictions. The framework further incorporates Monte Carlo (MC) Dropout to provide statistically calibrated uncertainty intervals alongside the predictions. A case study on Penang Island, Malaysia, demonstrates the applicability of the proposed approach. Although Penang has is traditionally considered aseismic, it is affected by far-field earthquake waves from neighboring regions. The model achieves an R 2 of 0.941, MAE of 7.394 m/s, and MAPE of 2.87% on independent tests. At the 95% confidence level, the prediction interval coverage probability (PICP) reaches 95.12% with a mean prediction interval width (MPIW) of 52.326 m/s, closely matching the nominal confidence level without excessive conservatism. These results indicate that the framework can capture the spatial distribution of Vs 30 with a relative error below 5% while providing reliable uncertainty quantification. Owing to its non-invasive nature, computational efficiency, and transferable architecture, this method offers a powerful and scalable tool for seismic microzonation, earthquake scenario modeling, and risk-based decision-making in regions worldwide.

Authors

Institutions

Publication Details

Journal
Results in Engineering
Published
2026-03-15
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rineng.2026.110068
Primary Topic
Seismic Waves and Analysis
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
Controls
|||
ALL TIME
JAN
FEB
MAR
APR
MAY
JUN
JUL
AUG
SEP
OCT
article

Seismic microzonation maps of Vs and fundamental frequency (f) for plain areas using single-station microtremor data and bayesian neural networks

Tze Liang Lau, Jian Yee Lee, Changwen Tang, Chunpeng Liu
Results in Engineering
Seismic Waves and Analysis
article

Seismic microzonation maps of Vs and fundamental frequency (f) for plain areas using single-station microtremor data and bayesian neural networks

Tze Liang Lau, Jian Yee Lee, Changwen Tang, Chunpeng Liu
article en

Abstract

• The estimated ground structures are validated using the available borelog data. • BNN + single station microtremor enables fast, uncertainty-aware Vs30 estimation. • Reduces site characterization time from days to seconds; scalable for microzonation. • Provide cost-effective seismic site response assessment using microtremors. Accurate estimation of the time-averaged shear wave velocity in the upper 30 m ( Vs 30 ) is essential for seismic microzonation, ground motion simulation, and earthquake risk assessment. Traditional microzonation methods often rely on dense seismic arrays and extensive geotechnical investigations, which are costly and time-consuming. This study presents a practical Bayesian Neural Network (BNN) framework that integrates horizontal-to-vertical spectral ratio (HVSR) curves from single-station microtremor measurements with site-specific physical constraints to achieve high-accuracy Vs 30 predictions. The framework further incorporates Monte Carlo (MC) Dropout to provide statistically calibrated uncertainty intervals alongside the predictions. A case study on Penang Island, Malaysia, demonstrates the applicability of the proposed approach. Although Penang has is traditionally considered aseismic, it is affected by far-field earthquake waves from neighboring regions. The model achieves an R 2 of 0.941, MAE of 7.394 m/s, and MAPE of 2.87% on independent tests. At the 95% confidence level, the prediction interval coverage probability (PICP) reaches 95.12% with a mean prediction interval width (MPIW) of 52.326 m/s, closely matching the nominal confidence level without excessive conservatism. These results indicate that the framework can capture the spatial distribution of Vs 30 with a relative error below 5% while providing reliable uncertainty quantification. Owing to its non-invasive nature, computational efficiency, and transferable architecture, this method offers a powerful and scalable tool for seismic microzonation, earthquake scenario modeling, and risk-based decision-making in regions worldwide.

Results in EngineeringVol. 30
Universiti Sains Malaysia (MY), South China University of Technology (CN)
Climate action
Openalex Percentile: Top 14%
Seismic Waves and Analysis
AI Navigator

Ask Laika to Summarize, Analyze, and Connect papers live on the map.

Summarize Papers & Methodologies

Extract key findings, datasets, and comparative methods across publications.

Benchmark Rankings & Visual Analytics

Rank top research institutions, authors, funders, topics, and journals by Field-Weighted Citation Impact (FWCI) and paper volume with instant charts.

Connect Distant Disciplines

Bridge topological clusters on the map to find hidden collaborative intersections.