Forecasting gold market trends using Forward Newton’s Divided Difference interpolation

Accurate prediction of gold prices is crucial due to gold’s role as a safe asset in times of economic uncertainty. This study investigates the use of Newton’s Forward Divided Difference (NFDD) interpolation method to model and forecast gold prices using historical data from March 2022 to April 2025. By constructing polynomial equations of degree-3 and degree-7 using NFDD, the study evaluates prediction accuracy using Percentage Absolute Relative Error (PARE). The findings highlight the practical viability of classical interpolation methods in financial forecasting, offering a computationally efficient alternative to complex machine learning models.

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Publication Details

Journal
UiTM Institutional Repositories (Universiti Teknologi MARA)
Published
2025-09-01
Primary Topic
Market Dynamics and Volatility
Type
article
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article

Forecasting gold market trends using Forward Newton’s Divided Difference interpolation

Nor Hanim Abd Rahman, Rafizah Kechil, Nurul Athirah Soleha Mohd Zin, Nurshazrin Izzati Azat
UiTM Institutional Repositories (Universiti Teknologi MARA)
Market Dynamics and Volatility
article

Forecasting gold market trends using Forward Newton’s Divided Difference interpolation

Nor Hanim Abd Rahman, Rafizah Kechil, Nurul Athirah Soleha Mohd Zin, Nurshazrin Izzati Azat
article en

Abstract

Accurate prediction of gold prices is crucial due to gold’s role as a safe asset in times of economic uncertainty. This study investigates the use of Newton’s Forward Divided Difference (NFDD) interpolation method to model and forecast gold prices using historical data from March 2022 to April 2025. By constructing polynomial equations of degree-3 and degree-7 using NFDD, the study evaluates prediction accuracy using Percentage Absolute Relative Error (PARE). The findings highlight the practical viability of classical interpolation methods in financial forecasting, offering a computationally efficient alternative to complex machine learning models.

UiTM Institutional Repositories (Universiti Teknologi MARA)
Decent work and economic growth
Openalex Percentile: Top 11%
Market Dynamics and Volatility
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