Predicting atrial fibrillation recurrence after pulmonary vein isolation from ECG data

Catheter-based pulmonary vein isolation (PVI) is widely used to treat atrial fibrillation (AF). The procedure isolates the pulmonary vein from the left atrium to suppress irregular heartbeats. If AF recurs, further interventions may be required. This study investigates model-based prediction of AF recurrence using only electrocardiogram (ECG) data. We benchmarked two neural networks for the prediction task. The task-specific convolutional neural network achieved an AUROC of 0.755, slightly exceeding the foundation model (AUROC 0.742). These results confirm earlier findings that ECGs contain predictive information about AF recurrence and they can be extracted by foundation models.

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Publication Details

Journal
Infinite Science GmbH
Published
2025-12-17
DOI
https://doi.org/10.18416/automed.2026.2528
Primary Topic
ECG Monitoring and Analysis
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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Predicting atrial fibrillation recurrence after pulmonary vein isolation from ECG data

Jan Graßhoff, Lukas Boudnik, Philipp Rostalski, S S Popescu et al.
Infinite Science GmbH
ECG Monitoring and Analysis
article

Predicting atrial fibrillation recurrence after pulmonary vein isolation from ECG data

Jan Graßhoff, Lukas Boudnik, Philipp Rostalski, S S Popescu, Marcella Ghaus, Roland Tilz
article en

Abstract

Catheter-based pulmonary vein isolation (PVI) is widely used to treat atrial fibrillation (AF). The procedure isolates the pulmonary vein from the left atrium to suppress irregular heartbeats. If AF recurs, further interventions may be required. This study investigates model-based prediction of AF recurrence using only electrocardiogram (ECG) data. We benchmarked two neural networks for the prediction task. The task-specific convolutional neural network achieved an AUROC of 0.755, slightly exceeding the foundation model (AUROC 0.742). These results confirm earlier findings that ECGs contain predictive information about AF recurrence and they can be extracted by foundation models.

Infinite Science GmbH
Universität Hamburg (DE), University Medical Center Hamburg-Eppendorf (DE), University Hospital Schleswig-Holstein (DE), German Centre for Cardiovascular Research (DE), Fraunhofer-Einrichtung für Individualisierte Medizintechnik (DE), University of Lübeck (DE)
Openalex Percentile: Top 24%
ECG Monitoring and Analysis
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Predicting atrial fibrillation recurrence after pulmonary vein isolation from ECG data — Jan Graßhoff, Lukas Boudnik, et al. · Infinite Science GmbH (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS