Prediction and Applicability Analysis of Multi-Type Monitoring Data for Metro Foundation Pits Based on VMD-GWO-CNN Model

Current methods for predicting deep excavation deformation suffer from insufficient accuracy and limited generalization capability. Moreover, the applicability of these methods to different types of monitoring data also requires in-depth analysis. To address this, a machine learning-based prediction model, i.e., the VMD-GWO-CNN model, integrating Variational Mode Decomposition (VMD), the Grey Wolf Optimizer (GWO), and the Convolutional Neural Network (CNN), is proposed to predict various types of monitoring data. The GWO algorithm optimizes both the key parameters of VMD and the hyperparameters of the CNN. The optimized CNN model predicts each subsequence decomposed by VMD, and the final prediction is obtained by superimposing these results. Furthermore, the prediction performance of the proposed model is evaluated against the LSTM, CNN, and GWO-CNN models using four metrics (RMSE, MAE, MAPE, R2). The results indicate that all four algorithms possess effective predictive capability for the monitoring data, in which the VMD-GWO-CNN model demonstrates the best performance across all metrics. Specifically, its RMSE for surface settlement prediction is reduced by 59.2%, 34.1%, and 33.0% compared to the LSTM, CNN, and GWO-CNN models, respectively. Moreover, the VMD-GWO-CNN model exhibits strong predictive performance for deformation in slope engineering and subgrade engineering, demonstrating its good applicability across different geotechnical engineering. The findings provide a scientific basis for safe excavation construction and contribute to efficient and rapid execution of foundation pit projects.