Performance enhancement of tin-based perovskite solar cells by analysing experimental dataset via machine learning

• Created a large-scale experimental dataset with 608 device structures of TPSC • Analysed 150 syntheses and material features for performance enhancement • Random Forest model achieved a train R 2 of 0.987 • SHAP, PDP, and ICE plots were utilised to find the key fabrication parameters Tin-based perovskite solar cells (TPSCs) have shown significant potential as lead-free perovskite solar cells (PSCs). However, TPSCs are currently struggling to reach higher power conversion efficiency (PCE) due to rapid crystallization and Sn +2 to Sn 4+ oxidation. This study presents a novel machine learning (ML) framework to analyse a large-scale, manually extracted experimental dataset and optimise fabrication parameters to enhance the performance of TPSCs. The dataset is compiled from nearly 1,200 research articles and includes 150 selected features and four target labels (PCE, open-circuit voltage (V OC ), short-circuit current (J SC ), and fill factor (FF)). This framework consists of a benchmarking method that utilises multiple ML models to select a suitable model. The Random Forest model outperformed other ML models, achieving an outstanding training coefficient of determination (R 2 ) of 0.987. A five-fold cross-validation is introduced into the framework to analyse the ML model's generalisation. SHAP (Shapley Additive Explanations), Partial Dependence Plots (PDPs), and Individual Conditional Expectation (ICE) plots revealed dominant features of anti-solvent, ETL spin speed, and annealing temperature. This framework provides crucial recommendations to enhance the TPSC's performance. This bridges the gap to commercialise the lead-free high-performance PSCs.

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Publication Details

Journal
Energy and AI
Published
2026-03-13
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.egyai.2026.100716
Primary Topic
Perovskite Materials and Applications
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

Performance enhancement of tin-based perovskite solar cells by analysing experimental dataset via machine learning

Zafar Said, Hazim Khir, Veera Nagendra Muppana, Ngui Wai Keng et al.
Energy and AI
Perovskite Materials and Applications
article

Performance enhancement of tin-based perovskite solar cells by analysing experimental dataset via machine learning

Zafar Said, Hazim Khir, Veera Nagendra Muppana, Ngui Wai Keng, Adarsh Kumar Pandey, Mahendran Samykano
article en

Abstract

• Created a large-scale experimental dataset with 608 device structures of TPSC • Analysed 150 syntheses and material features for performance enhancement • Random Forest model achieved a train R 2 of 0.987 • SHAP, PDP, and ICE plots were utilised to find the key fabrication parameters Tin-based perovskite solar cells (TPSCs) have shown significant potential as lead-free perovskite solar cells (PSCs). However, TPSCs are currently struggling to reach higher power conversion efficiency (PCE) due to rapid crystallization and Sn +2 to Sn 4+ oxidation. This study presents a novel machine learning (ML) framework to analyse a large-scale, manually extracted experimental dataset and optimise fabrication parameters to enhance the performance of TPSCs. The dataset is compiled from nearly 1,200 research articles and includes 150 selected features and four target labels (PCE, open-circuit voltage (V OC ), short-circuit current (J SC ), and fill factor (FF)). This framework consists of a benchmarking method that utilises multiple ML models to select a suitable model. The Random Forest model outperformed other ML models, achieving an outstanding training coefficient of determination (R 2 ) of 0.987. A five-fold cross-validation is introduced into the framework to analyse the ML model's generalisation. SHAP (Shapley Additive Explanations), Partial Dependence Plots (PDPs), and Individual Conditional Expectation (ICE) plots revealed dominant features of anti-solvent, ETL spin speed, and annealing temperature. This framework provides crucial recommendations to enhance the TPSC's performance. This bridges the gap to commercialise the lead-free high-performance PSCs.

Energy and AIVol. 24
Universiti Malaysia Pahang Al-Sultan Abdullah (MY), United Arab Emirates University (AE), Sunway University (MY)
Affordable and clean energy
Openalex Percentile: Top 22%
Perovskite Materials and Applications
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