FATE-Net: An Optimization-Enhanced Attention-Driven Temporal Evolution Framework for Stock Price Forecasting

Stock price forecasting remains challenging due to the nonlinear, volatile, multi-scale dynamics of financial time series. This study addresses two core limitations of existing models: incomplete capture of full-spectrum multi-scale temporal dependencies and severe hyperparameter sensitivity caused by inefficient manual tuning. To solve these issues, we propose FATE-Net, an optimization-enhanced attention-driven forecasting framework. FATE-Net first integrates LSTM-based local encoding and Transformer-based global refinement to model multi-scale temporal dependencies. To address hyperparameter sensitivity, we embed a multi-objective particle swarm optimization (MOPSO) strategy, which formulates hyperparameter configuration as a dual-objective problem minimizing MAPE and RMSE, automatically exploring the hyperparameter space to find optimal configurations and enhance model generalization. Experiments on BYD stock data show that FATE-Net achieves state-of-the-art performance, with an MAE of 1.051, RMSE of 1.435, MAPE of 0.37%, and R2 of 0.997, verifying our framework’s effectiveness.

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Publication Details

Journal
Mathematics
Published
2026-03-12
DOI
https://doi.org/10.3390/math14060964
Primary Topic
Stock Market Forecasting Methods
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

FATE-Net: An Optimization-Enhanced Attention-Driven Temporal Evolution Framework for Stock Price Forecasting

Chunjie Cao, Zhizhe Lin, Teng Zhou, Pengbo Li et al.
Mathematics
Stock Market Forecasting Methods
article

FATE-Net: An Optimization-Enhanced Attention-Driven Temporal Evolution Framework for Stock Price Forecasting

Chunjie Cao, Zhizhe Lin, Teng Zhou, Pengbo Li, Fei Wang, Zhibo Zhao
article en

Abstract

Stock price forecasting remains challenging due to the nonlinear, volatile, multi-scale dynamics of financial time series. This study addresses two core limitations of existing models: incomplete capture of full-spectrum multi-scale temporal dependencies and severe hyperparameter sensitivity caused by inefficient manual tuning. To solve these issues, we propose FATE-Net, an optimization-enhanced attention-driven forecasting framework. FATE-Net first integrates LSTM-based local encoding and Transformer-based global refinement to model multi-scale temporal dependencies. To address hyperparameter sensitivity, we embed a multi-objective particle swarm optimization (MOPSO) strategy, which formulates hyperparameter configuration as a dual-objective problem minimizing MAPE and RMSE, automatically exploring the hyperparameter space to find optimal configurations and enhance model generalization. Experiments on BYD stock data show that FATE-Net achieves state-of-the-art performance, with an MAE of 1.051, RMSE of 1.435, MAPE of 0.37%, and R2 of 0.997, verifying our framework’s effectiveness.

MathematicsVol. 14(6)
Macau University of Science and Technology (MO), University of Electronic Science and Technology of China (CN), Hainan University (CN), Shantou University (CN), Guilin University of Electronic Technology (CN)
Openalex Percentile: Top 29%
Stock Market Forecasting Methods
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