FATE-Net: An Optimization-Enhanced Attention-Driven Temporal Evolution Framework for Stock Price Forecasting
Stock price forecasting remains challenging due to the nonlinear, volatile, multi-scale dynamics of financial time series. This study addresses two core limitations of existing models: incomplete capture of full-spectrum multi-scale temporal dependencies and severe hyperparameter sensitivity caused by inefficient manual tuning. To solve these issues, we propose FATE-Net, an optimization-enhanced attention-driven forecasting framework. FATE-Net first integrates LSTM-based local encoding and Transformer-based global refinement to model multi-scale temporal dependencies. To address hyperparameter sensitivity, we embed a multi-objective particle swarm optimization (MOPSO) strategy, which formulates hyperparameter configuration as a dual-objective problem minimizing MAPE and RMSE, automatically exploring the hyperparameter space to find optimal configurations and enhance model generalization. Experiments on BYD stock data show that FATE-Net achieves state-of-the-art performance, with an MAE of 1.051, RMSE of 1.435, MAPE of 0.37%, and R2 of 0.997, verifying our framework’s effectiveness.
Authors
- Chunjie Cao
- Zhizhe Lin (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0088-7241)
- Teng Zhou (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1920-8891)
- Pengbo Li (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5610-9713)
- Fei Wang
- Zhibo Zhao
Institutions
- Macau University of Science and Technology (MO)
- University of Electronic Science and Technology of China (CN)
- Hainan University (CN)
- Shantou University (CN)
- Guilin University of Electronic Technology (CN)
Publication Details
- Journal
- Mathematics
- Published
- 2026-03-12
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.3390/math14060964
- Primary Topic
- Stock Market Forecasting Methods
- Type
- article
- Field-Weighted Citation Impact
- 0.00