Agent-Based Models for Two Stocks with Superhedging

We propose an agent-based, non-probabilistic framework for modeling the joint evolution of two discounted asset prices expressed in units of a third asset acting as numeraire. The framework is based on a trajectorial superhedging theory, in which pricing, arbitrage, and null events are defined purely in financial terms, without reference to probability measures or martingale assumptions. A central necessary theoretical requirement is that the global property (L)-a.e. holds, ensuring consistency of the model construction. Admissible price evolutions are described by multidimensional trajectory sets generated from observable price movements and operational rebalancing rules representing a prescribed class of agents. Within a fixed trajectory set, relative price bounds between the two assets are obtained via superhedging and subhedging by means of self-financing portfolios that trade one asset against the other.

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Publication Details

Journal
Mathematics
Published
2026-03-12
DOI
https://doi.org/10.3390/math14060968
Primary Topic
Complex Systems and Time Series Analysis
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Agent-Based Models for Two Stocks with Superhedging

Mathematics
Complex Systems and Time Series Analysis
article

Agent-Based Models for Two Stocks with Superhedging

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Abstract

We propose an agent-based, non-probabilistic framework for modeling the joint evolution of two discounted asset prices expressed in units of a third asset acting as numeraire. The framework is based on a trajectorial superhedging theory, in which pricing, arbitrage, and null events are defined purely in financial terms, without reference to probability measures or martingale assumptions. A central necessary theoretical requirement is that the global property (L)-a.e. holds, ensuring consistency of the model construction. Admissible price evolutions are described by multidimensional trajectory sets generated from observable price movements and operational rebalancing rules representing a prescribed class of agents. Within a fixed trajectory set, relative price bounds between the two assets are obtained via superhedging and subhedging by means of self-financing portfolios that trade one asset against the other.

MathematicsVol. 14(6)
University of Toronto (CA)
Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada
Openalex Percentile: Top 29%
Complex Systems and Time Series Analysis
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