Longitudinal Randomised Field Trial of Emergency Care Systems: Methodological Evaluation and Clinical Outcomes in South Africa

Emergency care systems in sub-Saharan Africa face significant operational and methodological challenges. Robust evidence on system-level interventions is scarce, with few studies employing rigorous longitudinal designs to evaluate clinical impact. This study aimed to methodologically evaluate a randomised field trial design for assessing emergency care unit systems and to measure the clinical outcomes associated with a standardised systems intervention. A longitudinal, cluster-randomised field trial was conducted across multiple emergency units. Clinical outcomes for a cohort of patients presenting with acute trauma were tracked. The primary analysis used a mixed-effects model: $Y_{ij} = \beta_0 + \beta_1 X_{ij} + u_j + \epsilon_{ij}$, where $u_j$ represents random intercepts for units, with inference based on cluster-robust standard errors. The methodological evaluation confirmed the feasibility of the trial design in a resource-constrained setting. Clinically, the intervention was associated with a 17.3% reduction (95% CI: 9.1% to 25.5%) in time-to-critical-intervention for the trauma cohort. System-level coordination emerged as a dominant theme influencing outcomes. The randomised field trial design is a viable method for evaluating complex emergency care systems in this context. The implemented systems intervention demonstrated a statistically significant improvement in a key clinical timeliness metric. Future health systems research should adopt similar rigorous, longitudinal designs. Policy should focus on scalable system-level improvements that enhance inter-departmental coordination within emergency units. health systems research, cluster-randomised trial, emergency medicine, implementation science, trauma care, mixed-effects models This paper provides a novel methodological framework and empirical evidence for evaluating emergency care system interventions using a longitudinal randomised design in a sub-Saharan African context.

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Journal
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Published
2026-10-02
DOI
https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18955275
Primary Topic
Trauma and Emergency Care Studies
Type
article
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article

Longitudinal Randomised Field Trial of Emergency Care Systems: Methodological Evaluation and Clinical Outcomes in South Africa

Thandiwe Nkosi, Pieter van der Merwe, Kagiso Mokoena, Anika Pretorius
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Trauma and Emergency Care Studies
article

Longitudinal Randomised Field Trial of Emergency Care Systems: Methodological Evaluation and Clinical Outcomes in South Africa

Thandiwe Nkosi, Pieter van der Merwe, Kagiso Mokoena, Anika Pretorius
article en

Abstract

Emergency care systems in sub-Saharan Africa face significant operational and methodological challenges. Robust evidence on system-level interventions is scarce, with few studies employing rigorous longitudinal designs to evaluate clinical impact. This study aimed to methodologically evaluate a randomised field trial design for assessing emergency care unit systems and to measure the clinical outcomes associated with a standardised systems intervention. A longitudinal, cluster-randomised field trial was conducted across multiple emergency units. Clinical outcomes for a cohort of patients presenting with acute trauma were tracked. The primary analysis used a mixed-effects model: $Y_{ij} = \beta_0 + \beta_1 X_{ij} + u_j + \epsilon_{ij}$, where $u_j$ represents random intercepts for units, with inference based on cluster-robust standard errors. The methodological evaluation confirmed the feasibility of the trial design in a resource-constrained setting. Clinically, the intervention was associated with a 17.3% reduction (95% CI: 9.1% to 25.5%) in time-to-critical-intervention for the trauma cohort. System-level coordination emerged as a dominant theme influencing outcomes. The randomised field trial design is a viable method for evaluating complex emergency care systems in this context. The implemented systems intervention demonstrated a statistically significant improvement in a key clinical timeliness metric. Future health systems research should adopt similar rigorous, longitudinal designs. Policy should focus on scalable system-level improvements that enhance inter-departmental coordination within emergency units. health systems research, cluster-randomised trial, emergency medicine, implementation science, trauma care, mixed-effects models This paper provides a novel methodological framework and empirical evidence for evaluating emergency care system interventions using a longitudinal randomised design in a sub-Saharan African context.

Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Durban University of Technology (ZA), University of Pretoria (ZA)
Partnerships for the goals
Openalex Percentile: Top 30%
Trauma and Emergency Care Studies
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