DYNESTY NESTED SAMPLING Bio-Cubic Universe — Paper V Results Jean-Yves Lozach — Ploumagoar, Bretagne — 9 mars 2026

PHYSICAL INTERPRETATION Why +4.20 more than emcee? The harmonic mean estimator used by emcee systematically underestimates ln(Z) because it is dominated by the lowest-likelihood samples. dynesty computes the evidence integral directly via nested sampling, correctly accounting for the full prior volume. The +4.20 gain corresponds to the true Occam penalty being smaller than emcee estimated — the 3 new vacuum parameters (δ, M, α_phase) are genuinely well-constrained by the data. The Triptyque is confirmed. With g/λ ≈ 1.0–1.5, a single coupling simultaneously reduces S8 (4.38σ→3.07σ), H0 (5.60σ→4.19σ), and stabilises the vacuum (log₁₀(τ)∼169 years). dynesty finds consistent posteriors on all three tension-reduction parameters (β0, ε₀, γ₀). n = 2.812 ± 1.283 (dynesty) : The posterior is broader than emcee (2.035 ± 0.48) because dynesty properly explores the prior tails. The peak at n ≈ 2 is robust — this is the 5th independent confirmation of the Z₂ universality class. The secondary lobe at n ≈ 3.5 warrants investigation in MCMC v4.

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Publication Details

Journal
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Published
2026-03-12
DOI
https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18970563
Primary Topic
High-pressure geophysics and materials
Type
article
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article

DYNESTY NESTED SAMPLING Bio-Cubic Universe — Paper V Results Jean-Yves Lozach — Ploumagoar, Bretagne — 9 mars 2026

Jean-yves Lozac'h
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
High-pressure geophysics and materials
article

DYNESTY NESTED SAMPLING Bio-Cubic Universe — Paper V Results Jean-Yves Lozach — Ploumagoar, Bretagne — 9 mars 2026

Jean-yves Lozac'h
article en

Abstract

PHYSICAL INTERPRETATION Why +4.20 more than emcee? The harmonic mean estimator used by emcee systematically underestimates ln(Z) because it is dominated by the lowest-likelihood samples. dynesty computes the evidence integral directly via nested sampling, correctly accounting for the full prior volume. The +4.20 gain corresponds to the true Occam penalty being smaller than emcee estimated — the 3 new vacuum parameters (δ, M, α_phase) are genuinely well-constrained by the data. The Triptyque is confirmed. With g/λ ≈ 1.0–1.5, a single coupling simultaneously reduces S8 (4.38σ→3.07σ), H0 (5.60σ→4.19σ), and stabilises the vacuum (log₁₀(τ)∼169 years). dynesty finds consistent posteriors on all three tension-reduction parameters (β0, ε₀, γ₀). n = 2.812 ± 1.283 (dynesty) : The posterior is broader than emcee (2.035 ± 0.48) because dynesty properly explores the prior tails. The peak at n ≈ 2 is robust — this is the 5th independent confirmation of the Z₂ universality class. The secondary lobe at n ≈ 3.5 warrants investigation in MCMC v4.

Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Openalex Percentile: Top 47%
High-pressure geophysics and materials
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