Asymmetric response of day-to-day temperature variability to CO₂ forcing over Northern Hemisphere mid–high latitudes

Day-to-day temperature variability (DTDT) quantifies short-term temperature fluctuations and indicates weather-scale variability. Using idealized carbon dioxide removal (CDR) experiments, we assess the response asymmetry of DTDT over Northern Hemisphere mid-to-high latitudes under symmetric CO₂ ramp-up (RU) and ramp-down (RD) pathways. DTDT decreases with increasing CO₂ and remains strongly suppressed for about two decades after the CO₂ peak. Comparing CO₂ RU and RD periods with identical CO₂ concentrations, DTDT is systematically weaker during RD than during RU, indicating a pronounced response asymmetry to CO₂ forcing. This asymmetry is strongest in boreal winter and weaker in boreal summer. Using a decomposition of the thermodynamic energy equation, we find that the response asymmetry is primarily associated with weakened near-surface horizontal temperature advection, with additional contribution from changes in the variability of net surface radiative forcing. These results highlight the necessity of considering asymmetric and delayed recovery of short-term temperature variability in climate mitigation.

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Publication Details

Journal
npj Climate and Atmospheric Science
Published
2026-03-09
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-026-01372-1
Primary Topic
Atmospheric and Environmental Gas Dynamics
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Asymmetric response of day-to-day temperature variability to CO₂ forcing over Northern Hemisphere mid–high latitudes

Ruyu Gan, Qi Liu, Suqin Zhang, Gang Huang (136671) et al.
npj Climate and Atmospheric Science
Atmospheric and Environmental Gas Dynamics
article

Asymmetric response of day-to-day temperature variability to CO₂ forcing over Northern Hemisphere mid–high latitudes

Ruyu Gan, Qi Liu, Suqin Zhang, Gang Huang (136671), Kaiming Hu
article en

Abstract

Day-to-day temperature variability (DTDT) quantifies short-term temperature fluctuations and indicates weather-scale variability. Using idealized carbon dioxide removal (CDR) experiments, we assess the response asymmetry of DTDT over Northern Hemisphere mid-to-high latitudes under symmetric CO₂ ramp-up (RU) and ramp-down (RD) pathways. DTDT decreases with increasing CO₂ and remains strongly suppressed for about two decades after the CO₂ peak. Comparing CO₂ RU and RD periods with identical CO₂ concentrations, DTDT is systematically weaker during RD than during RU, indicating a pronounced response asymmetry to CO₂ forcing. This asymmetry is strongest in boreal winter and weaker in boreal summer. Using a decomposition of the thermodynamic energy equation, we find that the response asymmetry is primarily associated with weakened near-surface horizontal temperature advection, with additional contribution from changes in the variability of net surface radiative forcing. These results highlight the necessity of considering asymmetric and delayed recovery of short-term temperature variability in climate mitigation.

npj Climate and Atmospheric Science
Yunnan Normal University (CN), Chinese Academy of Sciences (CN), Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology (CN), Jiangsu University of Science and Technology (CN), Institute of Atmospheric Physics (CN), University of Chinese Academy of Sciences (CN), Nanjing University (CN), Capital Normal University (CN)
National Natural Science Foundation of China, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Key Laboratory of Meteorological Disaster
Climate action
Openalex Percentile: Top 42%
Atmospheric and Environmental Gas Dynamics
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Asymmetric response of day-to-day temperature variability to CO₂ forcing over Northern Hemisphere mid–high latitudes — Ruyu Gan, Qi Liu, et al. · npj Climate and Atmospheric Science (2026) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS