A spatio-temporal synchronous graph machine learning for prediction and optimization of regional traffic flow

The performance of urban regional traffic forecasting is poor due to its powerful spatio-temporal data representation ability and small sample data processing ability. This paper proposes a regional traffic flow prediction and optimization method using Spatio-temporal Synchronous Graph Machine Learning (SSGML). The proposed model combines the advantages of deep neural network in time series prediction and spatial feature extraction, and can more accurately capture the spatio-temporal variation of traffic flow. Similarly, the model can be quickly and effectively trained and deployed in small sample sizes, and has good predictive performance. In the experimental hyperparameter settings, the optimal experimental effect is achieved when Epoch= 240, model dimension is 32, the number of encoder decoder layers are 5, and the number of attention heads are 16. The experimental results on the PEMS04 and PEMS08 datasets show that the proposed SSGML model outperforms other comparison models in terms of performance metrics such as MAE, MAPE and RMSE. Specifically, compared with the optimal baseline model (DCRNN), the MAE, MAPE and RMSE of SSGML model on PEMS04 dataset are reduced by 2.02%, 7.83% and 7.10%, respectively; MAE, MAPE and RMSE on PEMS08 data set are reduced by 14.92%, 18.31% and 21.02%, respectively.

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Publication Details

Journal
Alexandria Engineering Journal
Published
2026-03-09
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.aej.2026.03.007
Primary Topic
Traffic Prediction and Management Techniques
Type
article
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A spatio-temporal synchronous graph machine learning for prediction and optimization of regional traffic flow

J LI, T. Wang, Meizhi Zhao, Xuguang Chai
Alexandria Engineering Journal
Traffic Prediction and Management Techniques
article

A spatio-temporal synchronous graph machine learning for prediction and optimization of regional traffic flow

J LI, T. Wang, Meizhi Zhao, Xuguang Chai
article en

Abstract

The performance of urban regional traffic forecasting is poor due to its powerful spatio-temporal data representation ability and small sample data processing ability. This paper proposes a regional traffic flow prediction and optimization method using Spatio-temporal Synchronous Graph Machine Learning (SSGML). The proposed model combines the advantages of deep neural network in time series prediction and spatial feature extraction, and can more accurately capture the spatio-temporal variation of traffic flow. Similarly, the model can be quickly and effectively trained and deployed in small sample sizes, and has good predictive performance. In the experimental hyperparameter settings, the optimal experimental effect is achieved when Epoch= 240, model dimension is 32, the number of encoder decoder layers are 5, and the number of attention heads are 16. The experimental results on the PEMS04 and PEMS08 datasets show that the proposed SSGML model outperforms other comparison models in terms of performance metrics such as MAE, MAPE and RMSE. Specifically, compared with the optimal baseline model (DCRNN), the MAE, MAPE and RMSE of SSGML model on PEMS04 dataset are reduced by 2.02%, 7.83% and 7.10%, respectively; MAE, MAPE and RMSE on PEMS08 data set are reduced by 14.92%, 18.31% and 21.02%, respectively.

Alexandria Engineering JournalVol. 141
Xingtai University (CN)
Sustainable cities and communities
Openalex Percentile: Top 29%
Traffic Prediction and Management Techniques
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A spatio-temporal synchronous graph machine learning for prediction and optimization of regional traffic flow — J LI, T. Wang, et al. · Alexandria Engineering Journal (2026) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS