Enhanced early warning of extreme river discharge events in the Yangtze River Basin using atmospheric circulation signals

We develop DetRF, a machine learning model that integrates anomaly detection with a Balanced Random Forest ensemble. The model was trained and validated using ERA5 reanalysis data from 2000–2019 and independently tested with ERA5 data from 2020–2024. Its early warning performance was assessed using precipitation and runoff observations.

Authors

Publication Details

Journal
International Journal of Applied Earth Observation and Geoinformation
Published
2026-09-22
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jag.2026.105590
Primary Topic
Hydrological Forecasting Using AI
Type
article
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article

Enhanced early warning of extreme river discharge events in the Yangtze River Basin using atmospheric circulation signals

Chunlei Gu, Xiaojun She, Yinghong Jing, Yao Li et al.
International Journal of Applied Earth Observation and Geoinformation
Hydrological Forecasting Using AI
article

Enhanced early warning of extreme river discharge events in the Yangtze River Basin using atmospheric circulation signals

Chunlei Gu, Xiaojun She, Yinghong Jing, Yao Li, xiaoke xu, Anning Huang, Yong Wang, Lifu Zhang
article en

Abstract

We develop DetRF, a machine learning model that integrates anomaly detection with a Balanced Random Forest ensemble. The model was trained and validated using ERA5 reanalysis data from 2000–2019 and independently tested with ERA5 data from 2020–2024. Its early warning performance was assessed using precipitation and runoff observations.

International Journal of Applied Earth Observation and GeoinformationVol. 154
Openalex Percentile: Top 87%
Hydrological Forecasting Using AI
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