The Examination of Appropriate Learning Periods to Improve the Prediction Accuracy of Solar Power Generation with a LSTM Model

The purpose of this study is to develop a PV power generation machine learning model using the LSTM model, verify its accuracy, and derive an appropriate learning period to ensure the appropriateness of the solar power generation prediction model.A comparison of short-term power generation data predicted by the machine learning model with data measured at the corresponding forecast time showed R 2 = 0.9499, indicating sufficient accuracy.Finally, the minimum learning period to secure a certain level of prediction through a review of the prediction result was reviewed using the power generation data already secured and the weather information at the same point during the period; 30 days were calculated as an appropriate learning period to ensure the accuracy of the solar power generation prediction model.

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Publication Details

Journal
Journal of the Korean Solar Energy Society
Published
2026-02-28
DOI
https://doi.org/10.7836/kses.2026.46.1.039
Primary Topic
Solar Radiation and Photovoltaics
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

The Examination of Appropriate Learning Periods to Improve the Prediction Accuracy of Solar Power Generation with a LSTM Model

Eui-Hwan Ryu, Dongsu Kim, Eun-Joo Oh, Yong-Jun Lee
Journal of the Korean Solar Energy Society
Solar Radiation and Photovoltaics
article

The Examination of Appropriate Learning Periods to Improve the Prediction Accuracy of Solar Power Generation with a LSTM Model

Eui-Hwan Ryu, Dongsu Kim, Eun-Joo Oh, Yong-Jun Lee
article en

Abstract

The purpose of this study is to develop a PV power generation machine learning model using the LSTM model, verify its accuracy, and derive an appropriate learning period to ensure the appropriateness of the solar power generation prediction model.A comparison of short-term power generation data predicted by the machine learning model with data measured at the corresponding forecast time showed R 2 = 0.9499, indicating sufficient accuracy.Finally, the minimum learning period to secure a certain level of prediction through a review of the prediction result was reviewed using the power generation data already secured and the weather information at the same point during the period; 30 days were calculated as an appropriate learning period to ensure the accuracy of the solar power generation prediction model.

Journal of the Korean Solar Energy SocietyVol. 46(1)
Hanbat National University (KR), Korea Institute of Energy Research (KR), Institute Belniis (BY)
Affordable and clean energy
Openalex Percentile: Top 33%
Solar Radiation and Photovoltaics
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