From small to mega river basins−adaptation of a lumped hydrological model for runoff simulation

• Parsimonious hydrological models may be enabled to use in large-scale water management. • CAWM model was adapted to simulate runoff in perennial river basins. • Model applied to six basins ranging from areas from 1,200 to 4.6 million km 2 . • Model efficiently reproduced flows in semi-arid and humid climatic regions. • Model validation showed good to very good performance indicators in all applications. Conceptual lumped hydrological models are widely used to simulate surface runoff in small catchments, particularly in intermittent or temporary river systems. This study presents an updated version of the CAWM IV (Campus Agreste Watershed Model), originally developed for hydrological simulations in small semi-arid basins, in which the core mathematical structure is preserved while key conceptual extensions are introduced. The main update consists of the inclusion of a groundwater reservoir and an explicit soil–groundwater exchange threshold, enabling the representation of baseflow generation and runoff processes in perennial rivers and under more humid conditions. The applicability of the updated CAWM model is evaluated across six Brazilian river basins with contrasting drainage areas, ranging from 1,316 km 2 to approximately 4.6 million km 2 , including the Amazon, Madeira, Tocantins–Araguaia, Parnaíba, das Velhas, and Sirinhaém basins. Model performance is assessed during calibration and validation periods using standard efficiency metrics and compared with the GR4J and HEC-HMS models. Across the mega basins, CAWM showed robust and stable performance, with Nash–Sutcliffe Efficiency (NSE) values ranging from approximately 0.76 to 0.94 and low volumetric bias. In the smaller basins, CAWM achieved satisfactory to very good performance (NSE typically between 0.74 and 0.85), comparable to or better than HEC-HMS and clearly outperforming GR4J. Overall, the results demonstrate that the updated CAWM model can reliably reproduce river flow dynamics across basin scales.

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Publication Details

Journal
Journal of Hydrology
Published
2026-03-09
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2026.135263
Primary Topic
Hydrology and Watershed Management Studies
Type
article
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article

From small to mega river basins−adaptation of a lumped hydrological model for runoff simulation

Othon Fialho de Oliveira, Júlia Daniele Silva de Souza, Luttemberg Ferreira de Araújo, Fellipe Henrique Borba Alves et al.
Journal of Hydrology
Hydrology and Watershed Management Studies
article

From small to mega river basins−adaptation of a lumped hydrological model for runoff simulation

Othon Fialho de Oliveira, Júlia Daniele Silva de Souza, Luttemberg Ferreira de Araújo, Fellipe Henrique Borba Alves, Gadadhara de Figueiredo Ferraz, Mariana de Lucena Corrêia Campos, Ágnes Sales Alves de Sousa, Dênia Santos de Oliveira, Sabrina da Silva Corrêa, Hellen Xavier Tavares Vasconcelos, Noemy Xavier Tavares Vasconcelos, José Almir Cirilo
article en

Abstract

• Parsimonious hydrological models may be enabled to use in large-scale water management. • CAWM model was adapted to simulate runoff in perennial river basins. • Model applied to six basins ranging from areas from 1,200 to 4.6 million km 2 . • Model efficiently reproduced flows in semi-arid and humid climatic regions. • Model validation showed good to very good performance indicators in all applications. Conceptual lumped hydrological models are widely used to simulate surface runoff in small catchments, particularly in intermittent or temporary river systems. This study presents an updated version of the CAWM IV (Campus Agreste Watershed Model), originally developed for hydrological simulations in small semi-arid basins, in which the core mathematical structure is preserved while key conceptual extensions are introduced. The main update consists of the inclusion of a groundwater reservoir and an explicit soil–groundwater exchange threshold, enabling the representation of baseflow generation and runoff processes in perennial rivers and under more humid conditions. The applicability of the updated CAWM model is evaluated across six Brazilian river basins with contrasting drainage areas, ranging from 1,316 km 2 to approximately 4.6 million km 2 , including the Amazon, Madeira, Tocantins–Araguaia, Parnaíba, das Velhas, and Sirinhaém basins. Model performance is assessed during calibration and validation periods using standard efficiency metrics and compared with the GR4J and HEC-HMS models. Across the mega basins, CAWM showed robust and stable performance, with Nash–Sutcliffe Efficiency (NSE) values ranging from approximately 0.76 to 0.94 and low volumetric bias. In the smaller basins, CAWM achieved satisfactory to very good performance (NSE typically between 0.74 and 0.85), comparable to or better than HEC-HMS and clearly outperforming GR4J. Overall, the results demonstrate that the updated CAWM model can reliably reproduce river flow dynamics across basin scales.

Journal of HydrologyVol. 671
Universidade Federal de Pernambuco (BR), Budapest University of Technology and Economics (HU), Secretaria de Educação de Pernambuco (BR), National Water Agency (BR), Universidade Federal Rural de Pernambuco (BR), Universidade de Pernambuco (BR)
Clean water and sanitation
Openalex Percentile: Top 34%
Hydrology and Watershed Management Studies
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