REFORMING THE UK FISCAL FRAMEWORK
Abstract This paper argues that the current UK fiscal framework fails to support growth-enhancing public investment while inadequately restraining debt accumulation. Frequent changes to fiscal rules, their short horizon and incentives that prioritise current spending over long-term investment have undermined economic stability and productivity growth. We propose a reformed framework centred on clear fiscal objectives, enhanced OBR analysis of long-run sustainability and a target for the primary surplus consistent with maintaining stable debt. A supplementary investment rule would ensure adequate public capital formation. Together, these reforms aim to raise productivity, support resilience and improve living standards.
Authors
- Adrian Pabst (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3153-1598)
- Stephen Millard
- Ben Caswell
Institutions
- University of Kent (GB)
- National Institute of Economic and Social Research (GB)
Publication Details
- Journal
- National Institute Economic Review
- Published
- 2026-03-09
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.1017/nie.2026.10088
- Primary Topic
- Fiscal Policies and Political Economy
- Type
- article
- Field-Weighted Citation Impact
- 0.00