Reserve Price Signaling With Public Information: Evidence From Online Auto Auctions

ABSTRACT This article considers an auction model in which a seller's choice of reserve price signals her private information about the object's quality. We show that the signaling incentive would lower the seller's payoff and the probability of sale. We estimate the model using a novel dataset from a large online auto auction platform. Counterfactual simulations suggest that a secret reserve price could shut down the signaling incentive and improve both the seller's payoff and the probability of sale, which supports the prevalent use of secret reserve prices in practice.

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Publication Details

Journal
The RAND Journal of Economics
Published
2026-02-26
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1111/1756-2171.70047
Primary Topic
Auction Theory and Applications
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

Reserve Price Signaling With Public Information: Evidence From Online Auto Auctions

Junyan Guan, Boli Xu
The RAND Journal of Economics
Auction Theory and Applications
article

Reserve Price Signaling With Public Information: Evidence From Online Auto Auctions

Junyan Guan, Boli Xu
article en

Abstract

ABSTRACT This article considers an auction model in which a seller's choice of reserve price signals her private information about the object's quality. We show that the signaling incentive would lower the seller's payoff and the probability of sale. We estimate the model using a novel dataset from a large online auto auction platform. Counterfactual simulations suggest that a secret reserve price could shut down the signaling incentive and improve both the seller's payoff and the probability of sale, which supports the prevalent use of secret reserve prices in practice.

The RAND Journal of EconomicsVol. 57(1)
Northwestern University (US), University of Iowa (US)
Openalex Percentile: Top 36%
Auction Theory and Applications
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