Quantifying Equilibrium Climate Sensitivity to Atmospheric Chemistry and Composition Representations in GFDL‐CM4.0 and GFDL‐ESM4.1

Abstract Equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS) quantifies surface warming in response to doubled pre‐industrial CO 2 (2xCO 2 ). Uncertainty in estimates arises from diverse model representations and climate‐chemistry feedbacks. We quantify ECS with five atmospheric chemistry‐composition model representations (sea salt, dust, organics, ozone, sea ice masking) with slab ocean configurations of the GFDL‐CM4.0 physical climate (4.1 ± 0.1 K) and GFDL‐ESM4.1 coupled climate‐carbon‐chemistry Earth system (3.4 ± 0.1 K) models. Estimated ECS is 0.7 K lower with GFDL‐ESM4.1, attributed to additive 0.1–0.3 K decreases as each GFDL‐ESM4.1 driver is included and a 0.4–0.6 K decrease with the addition of all five GFDL‐ESM4.1 model drivers in combination, relative to estimated ECS with GFDL‐CM4.0 neglecting these negative climate‐chemistry feedbacks. Interactive stratospheric ozone included in GFDL‐ESM4.1 contributes to the largest ECS decrease in response to 2xCO 2 of all five drivers, characterized by reduced polar amplification. We demonstrate strong climate sensitivity to complex but often ignored climate‐chemistry feedbacks.

Authors

Institutions

Publication Details

Journal
Geophysical Research Letters
Published
2026-03-04
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1029/2025gl116545
Primary Topic
Atmospheric Ozone and Climate
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
Controls
|||
ALL TIME
JAN
FEB
MAR
APR
MAY
JUN
JUL
AUG
SEP
OCT
article

Quantifying Equilibrium Climate Sensitivity to Atmospheric Chemistry and Composition Representations in GFDL‐CM4.0 and GFDL‐ESM4.1

Niki Zadeh, Fabien Paulot, J. P. Dunne, L. W. Horowitz et al.
Geophysical Research Letters
Atmospheric Ozone and Climate
article

Quantifying Equilibrium Climate Sensitivity to Atmospheric Chemistry and Composition Representations in GFDL‐CM4.0 and GFDL‐ESM4.1

Niki Zadeh, Fabien Paulot, J. P. Dunne, L. W. Horowitz, V. Naik, P. Ginoux, L. T. Sentman
article en

Abstract

Abstract Equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS) quantifies surface warming in response to doubled pre‐industrial CO 2 (2xCO 2 ). Uncertainty in estimates arises from diverse model representations and climate‐chemistry feedbacks. We quantify ECS with five atmospheric chemistry‐composition model representations (sea salt, dust, organics, ozone, sea ice masking) with slab ocean configurations of the GFDL‐CM4.0 physical climate (4.1 ± 0.1 K) and GFDL‐ESM4.1 coupled climate‐carbon‐chemistry Earth system (3.4 ± 0.1 K) models. Estimated ECS is 0.7 K lower with GFDL‐ESM4.1, attributed to additive 0.1–0.3 K decreases as each GFDL‐ESM4.1 driver is included and a 0.4–0.6 K decrease with the addition of all five GFDL‐ESM4.1 model drivers in combination, relative to estimated ECS with GFDL‐CM4.0 neglecting these negative climate‐chemistry feedbacks. Interactive stratospheric ozone included in GFDL‐ESM4.1 contributes to the largest ECS decrease in response to 2xCO 2 of all five drivers, characterized by reduced polar amplification. We demonstrate strong climate sensitivity to complex but often ignored climate‐chemistry feedbacks.

Geophysical Research LettersVol. 53(5)
NOAA Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory (US)
Climate action
Openalex Percentile: Top 49%
Atmospheric Ozone and Climate
AI Navigator

Ask Laika to Summarize, Analyze, and Connect papers live on the map.

Summarize Papers & Methodologies

Extract key findings, datasets, and comparative methods across publications.

Benchmark Rankings & Visual Analytics

Rank top research institutions, authors, funders, topics, and journals by Field-Weighted Citation Impact (FWCI) and paper volume with instant charts.

Connect Distant Disciplines

Bridge topological clusters on the map to find hidden collaborative intersections.